Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $3.2K | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$133 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $1.8K | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$52 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $866 | 73¢ | 68¢ | -$60 |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics | Yes | $475 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$3 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $306 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$36 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $292 | 73¢ | 86¢ | +$50 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $330 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $281 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$5 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $216 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$9 |
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $170 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$18 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $117 | 62¢ | 82¢ | +$36 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $133 | 29¢ | 31¢ | +$6 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $65 | 65¢ | 73¢ | +$8 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $82 | 82¢ | 54¢ | -$28 |
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $47 | 41¢ | 34¢ | -$8 |
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | No | $35 | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 70¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $38 | 76¢ | 48¢ | -$14 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | No | $18 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 55¢ | 81¢ | +$5 |
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $14 | 69¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in September?Politics | No | $11 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 60¢ | 41¢ | -$4 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |