 Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | No | $151 | 50¢ | 68¢ | +$51 |
 Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?Politics | No | $182 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $176 | 25¢ | 26¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $167 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $172 | 18¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | No | $149 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$19 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $173 | 73¢ | 70¢ | -$7 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $172 | 43¢ | 42¢ | -$6 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $311 | 19¢ | 9.0¢ | -$161 |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | No | $149 | 74¢ | 73¢ | -$4 |
 Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $138 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $138 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $127 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$10 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | No | $109 | 65¢ | 75¢ | +$16 |
 Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $116 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Houston Astros hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | No | $85 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$9 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 51¢ | 63¢ | +$18 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Politics | No | $87 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
| Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | No | $109 | 79¢ | 64¢ | -$21 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$7 |
 Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $76 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$7 |
 Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $63 | 62¢ | 83¢ | +$20 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-08 House seat?Politics | No | $78 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $79 | 79¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $71 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $72 | 72¢ | 78¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Washington Nationals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | No | $76 | 76¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $60 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Politics | Yes | $63 | 68¢ | 66¢ | -$2 |
 Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $45 | 51¢ | 60¢ | +$8 |
 Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | No | $41 | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | Yes | $43 | 44¢ | 50¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 37¢ | 32¢ | -$8 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $60 | 40¢ | 31¢ | -$14 |
 Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $45 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?MLB | No | $40 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $42 | 42¢ | 44¢ | +$2 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?Politics | No | $24 | 55¢ | 97¢ | +$19 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?Politics | No | $42 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $33 | 25¢ | 32¢ | +$9 |
 Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?MLB | Yes | $17 | 16¢ | 39¢ | +$25 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $42 | 67¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
| Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?Politics | No | $38 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Politics | Yes | $43 | 52¢ | 48¢ | -$4 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $32 | 64¢ | 80¢ | +$8 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $39 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Negative GDP growth in 2026?Economy | No | $38 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 73¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?Politics | Yes | $34 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $34 | 67¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | No | $36 | 37¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-38 House seat?Politics | No | $35 | 87¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?Politics | Yes | $35 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | No | $31 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$3 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $32 | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?Politics | No | $25 | 77¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
| Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $27 | 51¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | Yes | $38 | 26¢ | 19¢ | -$10 |
| Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $26 | 51¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $33 | 22¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
| Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | No | $27 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?Politics | Yes | $26 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 15¢ | 64¢ | +$18 |
 Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?Culture | No | $25 | 73¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?Culture | Yes | $21 | 66¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $39 | 20¢ | 12¢ | -$16 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $42 | 38¢ | 21¢ | -$19 |
 Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?MLB | Yes | $29 | 29¢ | 21¢ | -$8 |
| Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $26 | 53¢ | 43¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?Politics | No | $19 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $12 | 23¢ | 39¢ | +$8 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 9.3¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $21 | 44¢ | 41¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | No | $22 | 64¢ | 50¢ | -$5 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBA | No | $11 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?MLB | No | $15 | 54¢ | 61¢ | +$2 |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $20 | 56¢ | 48¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | Yes | $33 | 27¢ | 13¢ | -$17 |
| Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?NBA | Yes | $16 | 19¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Tech | Yes | $13 | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?MLB | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 68¢ | +$7 |
| Benedict Wong as Wong?Culture | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 71¢ | +$4 |
 Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Politics | Yes | $14 | 72¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | No | $13 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $9 | 23¢ | 34¢ | +$4 |
 Hotstuff FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $14 | 75¢ | 67¢ | -$2 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $6 | 11¢ | 24¢ | +$6 |
| Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $12 | 69¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $8 | 61¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $59 | 19¢ | 3.3¢ | -$48 |
| Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $16 | 16¢ | 10¢ | -$6 |
 Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 NL Central title?MLB | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $14 | 28¢ | 20¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 34¢ | +$4 |
Bought No · Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$87h ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?$317h ago
Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?$120h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026?$321h ago