← Whale Watch

frozenriver

Predicting since Jan 202519,362 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $154K on Crypto markets since Jan 2025.

Right now: $920 riding on Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET.

Biggest hit: +$13K on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$101.0¢49¢+$480
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$21845¢99¢+$258
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$00.1¢37¢+$163
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$7135¢68¢+$64
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5525¢56¢+$69
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$13062¢59¢-$7
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$8360¢88¢+$40
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$6168¢65¢-$3
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsYes$8021¢13¢-$30
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsYes$71.6¢11¢+$40
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?PoliticsNo$1111¢46¢+$34
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2272¢99¢+$8
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$1771¢94¢+$5
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?CultureYes$1121¢43¢+$11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1453¢81¢+$7
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$10.1¢1.1¢+$9
Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$00.1¢1.1¢+$4
Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$10.1¢0.4¢+$2
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ETCryptoDownResolved$146¢100¢+$1
HYPE Up or Down - June 6, 8PM ETCryptoUpResolved$144¢100¢+$1
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$015¢100¢+$1
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ETCryptoDownResolved$13.1¢0.1¢-$1
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$78.0¢0.0¢-$7
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.4¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum above 2,355 on May 5, 4PM ET?CryptoNoResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ETCryptoUpResolved$58.5¢0.0¢-$5
HYPE Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ETCryptoDownResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$181.6¢0.0¢-$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ETCryptoUpResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ETCryptoDownResolved$05.7¢0.0¢-$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$14.3¢0.0¢-$1
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3119¢0.0¢-$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$121.1¢0.0¢-$12
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$36.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 70 by June 30?CryptoNoResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ETCryptoDownResolved$58.5¢0.0¢-$5
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$58.2¢0.0¢-$5
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$14.7¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down on June 18?CryptoUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$322.3¢0.0¢-$32
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$25.5¢0.0¢-$2
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$141.3¢0.0¢-$14
XRP Up or Down - July 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin above 79,400 on May 4, 7PM ET?CryptoNoResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ETCryptoUpResolved$501.0¢0.0¢-$50
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$41.5¢0.0¢-$4
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.5¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum above 2,385 on May 5, 4PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$65.3¢0.0¢-$6
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin above 81,800 on May 5, 4PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$81.9¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ETCryptoUpResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$734¢0.0¢-$7
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9PM ETCryptoUpResolved$29.5¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$81.0¢0.0¢-$8
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$07.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin above 83,200 on May 12, 12AM ET?CryptoYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?TechNoResolved$4031.0¢0.0¢-$403
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$251.2¢0.0¢-$25
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$13.1¢0.0¢-$1
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$61.3¢0.0¢-$6
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ETCryptoDownResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$012¢0.0¢-$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$07.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ETCryptoDownResolved$311.0¢0.0¢-$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$121.1¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$232.2¢0.0¢-$23
Bitcoin above 80,200 on May 4, 1PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ETCryptoUpResolved$231.0¢0.0¢-$23
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$91.0¢0.0¢-$9
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 5, 6PM ET?CryptoNoResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?CryptoUpResolved$251.3¢0.0¢-$25
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3431¢0.0¢-$34
XRP Up or Down - July 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$946¢0.0¢-$9
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 4AM ETCryptoUpResolved$13.5¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ETCryptoDownResolved$231.0¢0.0¢-$23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1125.4¢0.0¢-$112
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$111.1¢0.0¢-$11
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1724¢0.0¢-$17
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?CryptoYesResolved$120.1¢0.0¢-$12
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2211¢0.0¢-$22

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$154K
NFL+$480
Tech-$475
Politics-$227
Other+$179
Finance-$34
Mentions-$23
Culture+$11
Biggest hit
+$13K
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Toughest beat
-$1.5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Down · HYPE Up or Down - July 26, 11AM ET$01h ago
  • Bought Down · Dogecoin Up or Down on July 26?$13h ago
  • Bought Down · Dogecoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$55h ago
  • Cashed out Up · Dogecoin Up or Down - July 26, 2AM ET$39h ago
  • Bought Up · Dogecoin Up or Down - July 26, 2AM ET$09h ago
  • Bought Down · Solana Up or Down - July 25, 8PM ET$015h ago
  • Bought Down · Solana Up or Down - July 25, 8PM ET$015h ago
  • Bought Down · Solana Up or Down - July 25, 8PM ET$115h ago
  • Bought Down · Solana Up or Down - July 25, 8PM ET$015h ago
  • Bought Down · Solana Up or Down - July 25, 8PM ET$015h ago
  • Bought Down · Solana Up or Down - July 25, 8PM ET$015h ago
  • Cashed out Up · BNB Up or Down - July 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$516h ago