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Assura

Predicting since Mar 2026369 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$299¢99¢+$0
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$290¢99¢+$0
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$299¢99¢-$0
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?PoliticsNo$299¢99¢+$0
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?PoliticsYes$299¢98¢-$0
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 6?PoliticsNo$299¢98¢-$0
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?PoliticsYes$297¢98¢+$0
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsYes$297¢98¢+$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsNo$295¢98¢+$0
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$298¢98¢-$0
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$296¢97¢+$0
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20?PoliticsNo$298¢97¢-$0
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$298¢97¢-$0
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?PoliticsNo$293¢97¢+$0
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$298¢97¢-$0
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$296¢97¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$293¢96¢+$0
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$297¢96¢-$0
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsYes$298¢96¢-$0
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$295¢96¢+$0
Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$295¢95¢+$0
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be 12 or more?PoliticsNo$299¢95¢-$0
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$289¢94¢+$0
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsYes$294¢94¢-$0
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?PoliticsNo$280¢94¢+$0
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?PoliticsYes$290¢94¢+$0
Iran nuclear test before 2027?PoliticsNo$291¢93¢+$0
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?PoliticsNo$291¢93¢+$0
NATO article 5 before 2027?PoliticsNo$286¢92¢+$0
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsYes$295¢92¢-$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$280¢92¢+$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$285¢92¢+$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$289¢92¢+$0
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$293¢91¢-$0
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$287¢91¢+$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$286¢91¢+$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsNo$293¢90¢-$0
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$161¢89¢+$1
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$288¢89¢+$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$286¢88¢+$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$282¢88¢+$0
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherNo$290¢88¢-$0
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?PoliticsNo$299¢88¢-$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$278¢88¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$149¢56¢+$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$148¢56¢+$0
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$292¢84¢-$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$149¢56¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$169¢81¢+$0
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$174¢80¢+$0
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherNo$161¢78¢+$0
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$155¢77¢+$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$174¢77¢+$0
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?PoliticsYes$286¢76¢-$0
5kt meteor strike in 2026?WeatherNo$169¢74¢+$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$164¢68¢+$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$288¢66¢-$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$161¢56¢-$0
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$287¢56¢-$1
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?PoliticsYes$111¢11¢-$0
Maduro guilty of all counts?PoliticsNo$290¢51¢-$1
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$151¢51¢-$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$142¢34¢-$0
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$151¢50¢-$0
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$15.6¢0.0¢-$1
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $350-$355 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?FinanceYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$170¢0.0¢-$1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$134¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$288¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$280¢0.0¢-$2
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?CultureYesResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$162¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?EconomyYesResolved$18.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$290¢0.0¢-$2
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?EconomyYesResolved$174¢0.0¢-$1
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?EconomyNoResolved$277¢0.0¢-$2
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?CultureYesResolved$157¢0.0¢-$1
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$04.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?CultureNoResolved$292¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,250 (LOW) by April 30?EconomyYesResolved$15.1¢0.0¢-$1
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$284¢0.0¢-$2
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $345-$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?FinanceYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?WeatherYesResolved$14.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?PoliticsYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?CultureYesResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?PoliticsYesResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?WeatherYesResolved$275¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "RINO" or "Republican in Name Only" in April?MentionsYesResolved$168¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsNoResolved$158¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?PoliticsYesResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$172¢0.0¢-$1
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$13.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$156¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Soccer (other)-$7
Economy-$4
Politics-$4
Mentions-$3
Tech+$3
Culture-$2
Other sports+$2
Finance-$2
World Cup-$2
NFL-$2
Champions League+$1
MLS-$1
Biggest hit
+$4
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?$24d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?$24d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?$24d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?$24d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?$24d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$14d ago
  • Bought No · Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$14d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$24d ago
  • Sold No · Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?$24d ago
  • Sold No · Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$24d ago
  • Sold No · Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be 40 or more?$24d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$24d ago