 Will Trump deport less than 200k people?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.6¢ | 1.6¢ | +$7 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $10 | 1.1¢ | 1.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.7¢ | 2.2¢ | +$1 |
 Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?NBA | Yes | $5 | 1.4¢ | 1.8¢ | +$1 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Tech | Yes | $5 | 2.6¢ | 3.1¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.8¢ | 1.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 2.3¢ | 2.5¢ | +$1 |
 Fed abolished before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.1¢ | 2.1¢ | -$0 |
 Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.8¢ | 8.9¢ | +$4 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 2.2¢ | 2.1¢ | -$0 |
 Human moon landing in 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 2.2¢ | 2.1¢ | -$0 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ | +$4 |
 Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
 Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.2¢ | 2.6¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$2 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $5 | 39¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $5 | 1.4¢ | 0.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.2¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $5 | 2.4¢ | 1.6¢ | -$2 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 2.0¢ | 1.3¢ | -$2 |
 EU dissolves before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.2¢ | 1.4¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.2¢ | 0.8¢ | -$2 |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.7¢ | 0.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | -$3 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.3¢ | -$3 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be 70k or more?Culture | Yes | $5 | 1.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$3 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.3¢ | -$4 |
 XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 3.4¢ | 1.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.2¢ | 2.4¢ | +$0 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Weather | No | $1 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendeSports | LGD GamingResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Africa (CAF) score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in July 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. AlvarezWorld Cup | AlvarezResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Emiliano Martínez record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Yassine Bounou record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Jordan Pickford record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| World Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. MbappeWorld Cup | YamalResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $5 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$01d ago
Bought Yes · Will TenZ be elected the new Riot Games CEO in 2026?$51mo ago