Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $88 | 37¢ | 50¢ | +$29 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $59 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $31 | 69¢ | 88¢ | +$8 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $26 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 63¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Finance | NoResolved | $6 | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$9 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $55 | 66¢ | 15¢ | -$43 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $6 | 40¢ | 77¢ | +$5 |
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 56¢ | 16¢ | -$27 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $25 | 86¢ | 34¢ | -$15 |
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economy | No | $6 | 62¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 76¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 52¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 75¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $35 | 89¢ | 8.0¢ | -$32 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | No | $3 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $19 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Finance | NoResolved | $25 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Finance | NoResolved | $10 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will 60-69 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $22 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Finance | NoResolved | $9 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Finance | NoResolved | $27 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |