← Whale Watch

0x1Ca59B4088339065440836b425c586F02C9480F5-1769958266039

Predicting since Feb 2026290 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$1964¢45¢-$6
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$1474¢65¢-$2
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$1366¢59¢-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1179¢76¢-$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$1060¢57¢-$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?TechNo$986¢89¢+$0
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$967¢69¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$882¢83¢+$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechNo$881¢81¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$858¢56¢-$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?TechYes$774¢69¢-$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$771¢68¢-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$770¢65¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$770¢66¢-$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsNo$841¢33¢-$2
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$771¢62¢-$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$768¢56¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$766¢59¢-$1
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$658¢53¢-$1
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$660¢56¢-$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$435¢56¢+$2
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$655¢52¢-$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsYes$442¢52¢+$1
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$552¢52¢-$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$119¢100¢+$4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$546¢46¢-$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$480¢94¢+$1
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$531¢26¢-$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$244¢91¢+$2
Remote IPO before 2027?TechNo$480¢82¢+$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$442¢41¢-$0
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?TechYes$419¢20¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsNo$642¢29¢-$2
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?PoliticsNo$440¢37¢-$0
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?TechYes$526¢19¢-$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$378¢87¢+$0
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?eSportsYesResolved$139¢100¢+$2
Will T1 win MSI 2026?eSportsNoResolved$386¢100¢+$1
Remote IPO before 2027?TechYes$419¢18¢-$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$257¢95¢+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$439¢36¢-$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$368¢72¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$356¢71¢+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$371¢75¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$438¢34¢-$0
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$440¢37¢-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$372¢74¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsYes$526¢17¢-$2
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$374¢76¢+$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$259¢87¢+$1
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$316¢15¢-$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$546¢31¢-$2
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsYes$439¢30¢-$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsNo$255¢91¢+$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsNo$256¢93¢+$1
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$323¢21¢-$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$372¢80¢+$0
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?FinanceYes$419¢13¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$326¢26¢-$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$444¢26¢-$2
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$330¢26¢-$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$364¢49¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$283¢100¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?PoliticsYesResolved$136¢100¢+$2
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$153¢100¢+$1
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$257¢57¢-$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?PoliticsYes$321¢18¢-$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$325¢23¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$131¢63¢+$1
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$264¢89¢+$1
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?TechYes$439¢22¢-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$254¢52¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$281¢85¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$427¢14¢-$2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$330¢21¢-$1
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechYes$327¢21¢-$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$223¢21¢-$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$268¢72¢+$0
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$264¢64¢-$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$269¢86¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$256¢56¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$220¢19¢-$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$241¢44¢+$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsYes$224¢22¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$216¢16¢-$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsYes$329¢16¢-$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$239¢38¢-$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$129¢44¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$169¢100¢+$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsNo$143¢43¢-$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$333¢14¢-$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsNo$373¢38¢-$1
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in July?MentionsYes$663¢13¢-$5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$114¢12¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$163¢100¢+$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$135¢36¢+$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechOpenAI$220¢11¢-$1
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechNo$114¢11¢-$0
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?PoliticsYes$320¢7.5¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$169¢100¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$56
Mentions-$17
Tech-$14
Finance-$10
Soccer (other)+$7
World Cup+$5
NHL-$3
Politics+$2
Economy+$1
eSports+$1
Biggest hit
+$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Toughest beat
-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$620s ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$430m ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$435m ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$642m ago
  • Sold No · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$246m ago
  • Sold No · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$047m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$751m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$752m ago
  • Bought No · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$252m ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$659m ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$21h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$23h ago