| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $19 | 64¢ | 45¢ | -$6 |
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 74¢ | 65¢ | -$2 |
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 66¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $11 | 79¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 60¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?Tech | No | $9 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | No | $9 | 67¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $8 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $8 | 81¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 58¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $7 | 74¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 71¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $7 | 70¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $7 | 70¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $8 | 41¢ | 33¢ | -$2 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 71¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 68¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 66¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $6 | 58¢ | 53¢ | -$1 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 60¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $6 | 55¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 42¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $5 | 52¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 46¢ | 46¢ | -$0 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 31¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $2 | 44¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
Remote IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $4 | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 42¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | No | $6 | 42¢ | 29¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 40¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 26¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $3 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $1 | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will T1 win MSI 2026?eSports | NoResolved | $3 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Remote IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $2 | 57¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 39¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $3 | 68¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $3 | 56¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $3 | 71¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 38¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 40¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 26¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $3 | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 59¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $3 | 16¢ | 15¢ | -$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 46¢ | 31¢ | -$2 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 39¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Politics | No | $2 | 55¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Politics | No | $2 | 56¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?Finance | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $4 | 44¢ | 26¢ | -$2 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 64¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 57¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | No | $3 | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 31¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $2 | 64¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 39¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $2 | 54¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $4 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 30¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | No | $2 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $2 | 68¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 64¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $2 | 69¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $2 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 41¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Politics | Yes | $3 | 29¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 39¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 29¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $1 | 43¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 33¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $3 | 73¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in July?Mentions | Yes | $6 | 63¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $1 | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | OpenAI | $2 | 20¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | No | $1 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 7.5¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |