 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.5K | 60¢ | 68¢ | +$198 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $1.4K | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$186 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $1.6K | 73¢ | 69¢ | -$69 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$50 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $1.1K | 52¢ | 61¢ | +$196 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$32 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.1K | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$17 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 63¢ | 56¢ | -$124 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | No | $990 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $845 | 92¢ | 87¢ | -$48 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $715 | 19¢ | 19¢ | -$36 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $564 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$4 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $566 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $515 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$16 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $519 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $491 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $906 | 16¢ | 8.5¢ | -$418 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $418 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$68 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $499 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$24 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $514 | 46¢ | 42¢ | -$47 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $271 | 41¢ | 59¢ | +$118 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | Yes | $584 | 39¢ | 26¢ | -$198 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $275 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $242 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $245 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $198 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $197 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $195 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | Yes | $228 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$35 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $168 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$14 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $180 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$24 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $138 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$8 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $122 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $122 | 31¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $116 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $114 | 47¢ | 45¢ | -$5 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $174 | 23¢ | 13¢ | -$81 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $77 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $75 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$5 |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $77 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | Yes | $199 | 22¢ | 7.5¢ | -$131 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $83 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$15 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $77 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$12 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $69 | 73¢ | 68¢ | -$5 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 50¢ | 32¢ | -$37 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | Yes | $58 | 4.7¢ | 4.8¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $51 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $38 | 36¢ | 39¢ | +$3 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $40 | 63¢ | 56¢ | -$4 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 36¢ | 0.8¢ | -$1.6K |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 30¢ | 16¢ | -$29 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 35¢ | 30¢ | -$5 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $23 | 32¢ | 37¢ | +$3 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $95 | 24¢ | 6.5¢ | -$69 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $502 | 26¢ | 1.1¢ | -$480 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $21 | 1.9¢ | 1.1¢ | -$8 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | Yes | $16 | 37¢ | 20¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 16¢ | 30¢ | +$4 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $85 | 8.3¢ | 0.7¢ | -$78 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 8.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sports | No | $4 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 36¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 57¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
| Netanyahu out by July 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 3.8¢ | 0.3¢ | -$25 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Politics | NoResolved | $107 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$107 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $99 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $1.5K | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?Politics | NoResolved | $454 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$454 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $155 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 |
 Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $7 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $60 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Netanyahu out by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $305 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$305 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.6K | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3.3K | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.3K |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Politics | YesResolved | $133 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4.2K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.2K |
 No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $274 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$274 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $747 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$747 |
| Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $170 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $128 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$128 |