 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $3.5K | 72¢ | 88¢ | +$725 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.9K | 66¢ | 87¢ | +$591 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $1.2K | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$68 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $1.1K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$28 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | No | $1.1K | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$17 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $841 | 71¢ | 78¢ | +$78 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $855 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$20 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $845 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$17 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Politics | No | $723 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$17 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $618 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$20 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $387 | 60¢ | 98¢ | +$243 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $562 | 62¢ | 66¢ | +$35 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | No | $519 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $395 | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$77 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $906 | 16¢ | 7.5¢ | -$476 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $384 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$27 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $393 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $295 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $806 | 56¢ | 21¢ | -$510 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $289 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $245 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $232 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $229 | 47¢ | 47¢ | -$2 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $213 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$12 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | No | $203 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $197 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $242 | 13¢ | 9.5¢ | -$62 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $152 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $144 | 64¢ | 67¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $176 | 27¢ | 22¢ | -$34 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $164 | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$27 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $122 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$13 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $124 | 66¢ | 70¢ | +$7 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $119 | 52¢ | 55¢ | +$6 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $140 | 25¢ | 16¢ | -$52 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $75 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $69 | 73¢ | 87¢ | +$13 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $52 | 60¢ | 84¢ | +$20 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics | Yes | $104 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | -$36 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $59 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | Yes | $92 | 15¢ | 9.0¢ | -$37 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $45 | 56¢ | 60¢ | +$3 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $29 | 52¢ | 79¢ | +$15 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $156 | 46¢ | 13¢ | -$113 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $174 | 23¢ | 5.5¢ | -$133 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $40 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $84 | 8.0¢ | 3.6¢ | -$46 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?Politics | Yes | $109 | 24¢ | 7.5¢ | -$74 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $75 | 38¢ | 14¢ | -$48 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboOther sports | Yes | $20 | 5.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$6 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Politics | No | $25 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $15 | 24¢ | 38¢ | +$9 |
 US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by September 30?Politics | No | $20 | 85¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 23¢ | 11¢ | -$16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 35¢ | 14¢ | -$17 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $42 | 16¢ | 3.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $21 | 1.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$14 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$6 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ | 2.5¢ | -$6 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 8.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$15 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$0 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $499 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$499 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Politics | NoResolved | $107 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$107 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $99 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $1.5K | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?Politics | NoResolved | $454 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$454 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $155 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 |
 Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $7 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $78 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $60 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $95 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
| Netanyahu out by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $305 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$305 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.6K | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3.3K | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.3K |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Politics | YesResolved | $133 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $450 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$450 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4.2K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.2K |
| Netanyahu out by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $274 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$274 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |