Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $453 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $199 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $151 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$26 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $103 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $104 | 92¢ | 89¢ | -$3 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $94 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $75 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$8 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $75 | 60¢ | 66¢ | +$7 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $53 | 20¢ | 30¢ | +$26 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $78 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $79 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$3 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $57 | 57¢ | 75¢ | +$18 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $89 | 45¢ | 32¢ | -$26 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $60 | 36¢ | 38¢ | +$3 |
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $54 | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$3 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $74 | 74¢ | 57¢ | -$17 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $41 | 41¢ | 56¢ | +$16 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | Yes | $44 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $69 | 94¢ | 57¢ | -$27 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $40 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $41 | 65¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | No | $32 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $22 | 72¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?Finance | No | $27 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | No | $25 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $31 | 81¢ | 67¢ | -$6 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?Finance | No | $24 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $29 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$6 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 25¢ | 13¢ | -$21 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $27 | 32¢ | 26¢ | -$6 |
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $20 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 41¢ | 33¢ | -$5 |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $22 | 79¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 30¢ | 20¢ | -$11 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $17 | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 62¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $20 | 72¢ | 57¢ | -$4 |
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 86¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 66¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $9 | 22¢ | 30¢ | +$3 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $12 | 63¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | Yes | $11 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 27¢ | 50¢ | +$5 |
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Politics | Yes | $11 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 43¢ | 36¢ | -$2 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 33¢ | 89¢ | +$7 |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 60¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 70¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 51¢ | 31¢ | -$6 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 64¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 26¢ | 6.5¢ | -$26 |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $10 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $7 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 28¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $9 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 57¢ | 32¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $7 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 30¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 37¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 59¢ | 37¢ | -$4 |
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $5 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 27¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8 | 34¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Tech | No | $4 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | Yes | $18 | 29¢ | 7.0¢ | -$14 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $4 | 66¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 68¢ | 27¢ | -$6 |
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 66¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 25¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $5 | 38¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 23¢ | +$0 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 15¢ | 2.9¢ | -$10 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | No | $2 | 11¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |