← Whale Watch

Charizad

Predicting since Apr 2026980 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$45357¢56¢-$1
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$19995¢99¢+$7
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$15115¢13¢-$26
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$10385¢88¢+$3
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$10492¢89¢-$3
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$9423¢24¢+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$7575¢83¢+$8
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$7560¢66¢+$7
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5320¢30¢+$26
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceNo$7893¢94¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$7989¢86¢-$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$5757¢75¢+$18
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$8945¢32¢-$26
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$6036¢38¢+$3
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5892¢98¢+$3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$5477¢82¢+$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$7474¢57¢-$17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4141¢56¢+$16
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4867¢68¢+$1
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?PoliticsYes$4488¢89¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$6994¢57¢-$27
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$4068¢68¢-$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$4165¢63¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3594¢98¢+$1
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$3292¢97¢+$2
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?WeatherYes$2272¢95¢+$7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?FinanceNo$2798¢99¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$2593¢97¢+$1
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$3181¢67¢-$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceNo$2498¢100¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$2920¢16¢-$6
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$4325¢13¢-$21
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$2732¢26¢-$6
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$2084¢89¢+$1
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$2541¢33¢-$5
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$2279¢73¢-$2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$3030¢20¢-$11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1995¢95¢-$0
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1786¢90¢+$1
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$1739¢40¢+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$1462¢73¢+$2
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$2072¢57¢-$4
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$1786¢81¢-$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$1066¢94¢+$4
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoYes$922¢30¢+$3
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$1263¢63¢-$0
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$1191¢97¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$627¢50¢+$5
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$1195¢96¢+$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$1178¢80¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1343¢36¢-$2
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsYes$433¢89¢+$7
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1060¢59¢-$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?PoliticsNo$1070¢67¢-$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$1551¢31¢-$6
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$664¢92¢+$3
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3526¢6.5¢-$26
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$1015¢12¢-$3
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$792¢96¢+$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$928¢24¢-$1
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?TechNo$794¢97¢+$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$77.0¢7.0¢-$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$921¢18¢-$1
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$1257¢32¢-$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$719¢17¢-$1
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$930¢21¢-$3
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$637¢37¢-$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$1059¢37¢-$4
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$583¢95¢+$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$627¢22¢-$1
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$834¢21¢-$3
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?TechNo$476¢87¢+$1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$1829¢7.0¢-$14
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$466¢77¢+$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$1068¢27¢-$6
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$466¢66¢-$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$725¢13¢-$3
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$538¢24¢-$2
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?PoliticsYes$220¢23¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1215¢2.9¢-$10
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureNo$211¢16¢+$1
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$327¢21¢-$1
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?PoliticsYes$215¢11¢-$1
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?CryptoYes$121¢20¢-$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$313¢6.5¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$615
Crypto+$427
NBA-$92
World Cup-$59
Champions League-$27
Economy-$26
Tech-$25
Soccer (other)-$15
Mentions+$13
eSports-$13
MLB+$11
Premier League-$10
Biggest hit
+$358
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$106
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$71h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$31h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$32h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$32h ago
  • Sold No · Iran leadership change by December 31?$43h ago
  • Bought No · Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?$314h ago
  • Bought No · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$29h ago
  • Bought No · Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?$711h ago
  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$812h ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$912h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3015h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$1119h ago