← Whale Watch

Entropy8

Predicting since Sep 2025257 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $4.5K on Politics markets since Sep 2025.

Right now: $2.8K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.3K on Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$22916¢97¢+$1.2K
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K93¢96¢+$36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.0K76¢80¢+$52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$99977¢81¢+$44
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$91971¢76¢+$69
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$76172¢77¢+$48
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$40150¢80¢+$241
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsNo$41477¢88¢+$63
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$43384¢89¢+$26
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBANo$15338¢100¢+$245
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$24723¢34¢+$112
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$29489¢94¢+$15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$26480¢92¢+$38
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherNo$30990¢88¢-$7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$24770¢85¢+$51
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$19851¢56¢+$21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$42015¢7.4¢-$213
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$25426¢21¢-$48
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$21579¢75¢-$12
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$13554¢69¢+$38
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$25663¢42¢-$87
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$25951¢33¢-$94
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$14781¢81¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$25446¢26¢-$113
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$13645¢45¢-$2
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$11958¢63¢+$9
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$10977¢85¢+$12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$17028¢20¢-$50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11162¢39¢-$41
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$14743¢18¢-$86
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$14244¢18¢-$86
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$2178.0¢0.1¢-$216
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on February 17?FinanceNoResolved$41916¢0.0¢-$419
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLNoResolved$18573¢0.0¢-$185
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan WawrinkaTennisStan WawrinkaResolved$14834¢0.0¢-$148
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?FinanceNoResolved$1.1K49¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on February 17?FinanceNoResolved$1327.0¢0.0¢-$132
Will Netflix dip to $70 in February?FinanceYesResolved$30120¢0.0¢-$301
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$63036¢0.0¢-$630
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfNoResolved$7165¢0.0¢-$71
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevTennisAlexander ZverevResolved$21321¢0.0¢-$213
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$47341¢0.0¢-$473
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$7317¢0.0¢-$73
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsNoResolved$28939¢0.0¢-$289
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in February 2026?FinanceYesResolved$31853¢0.0¢-$318
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?PoliticsNoResolved$45930¢0.0¢-$459
TikTok sale announced in 2025?TechNoResolved$35036¢0.0¢-$350
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander ZverevTennisArthur FeryResolved$10315¢0.0¢-$103
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?FinanceNoResolved$27383¢0.0¢-$273
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?PoliticsYesResolved$865¢0.0¢-$8
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicTennisNovak DjokovicResolved$23221¢0.0¢-$232
Will Amazon dip to $192 in February?FinanceYesResolved$1.0K57¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$50382¢0.0¢-$503
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?CultureNoResolved$40020¢0.0¢-$400
Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?PoliticsDownResolved$34266¢0.0¢-$342
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechNoResolved$17338¢0.0¢-$173
Will Tesla dip to $383 in February?FinanceYesResolved$74639¢0.0¢-$746
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$100056¢0.0¢-$1000
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?PoliticsYesResolved$7023¢0.0¢-$70
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?WeatherYesResolved$76773¢0.0¢-$767
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K45¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$20844¢0.0¢-$208
Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?TechYesResolved$012¢0.0¢-$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$2279.8¢0.0¢-$227
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?FinanceYesResolved$60554¢0.0¢-$605
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$46025¢0.0¢-$460
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$13115¢0.0¢-$131
Will Trump visit China by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4337.2¢0.0¢-$433
Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?CryptoNoResolved$21020¢0.0¢-$210
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?PoliticsNoResolved$90923¢0.0¢-$909
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50.5 and 51.0 million views on day 6?CultureNoResolved$99056¢0.0¢-$990
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$15054¢0.0¢-$150
Will Apple reach $284 in February?FinanceYesResolved$61159¢0.0¢-$611
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.0K17¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?BoxingNoResolved$50011¢0.0¢-$500
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$26025¢0.0¢-$260
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?MentionsNoResolved$49838¢0.0¢-$498
Athens Open: Clara Tauson vs Nao HibinoTennisNao HibinoResolved$18121¢0.0¢-$181
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2002.5¢0.0¢-$200
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$24487¢0.0¢-$244
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1002.8¢0.0¢-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$4.5K
Finance-$2.9K
Tech+$2.6K
Economy+$2.6K
Boxing+$1.5K
Crypto+$1.1K
Tennis-$879
Culture+$759
Weather-$540
Mentions-$491
NBA+$332
World Cup+$306
Biggest hit
+$2.3K
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
Toughest beat
-$632
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$21014h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$314h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$215h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$3215h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.0K16h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.0K16h ago
  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$1212d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$585d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$675d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$525d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$235d ago