 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $644 | 39¢ | 87¢ | +$779 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $127 | 43¢ | 95¢ | +$153 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $741 | 45¢ | 13¢ | -$535 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $53 | 45¢ | 53¢ | +$10 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $24 | 32¢ | 50¢ | +$13 |
 Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Culture | Yes | $36 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $21 | 33¢ | 51¢ | +$12 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $43 | 36¢ | 24¢ | -$15 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $12 | 16¢ | 30¢ | +$10 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $16 | 25¢ | 34¢ | +$6 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 14¢ | 18¢ | +$5 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $10 | 23¢ | 46¢ | +$10 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $28 | 62¢ | 38¢ | -$11 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 58¢ | +$12 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $44 | 2.6¢ | 0.9¢ | -$30 |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $4 | 8.0¢ | 30¢ | +$10 |
| Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $5 | 12¢ | 28¢ | +$7 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $25 | 33¢ | 15¢ | -$13 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $4 | 8.8¢ | 19¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $8 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Politics | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 65¢ | +$3 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $10 | 3.4¢ | 2.1¢ | -$4 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $8 | 12¢ | 9.4¢ | -$2 |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $3 | 4.6¢ | 6.3¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $1 | 1.5¢ | 10¢ | +$4 |
 Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000?Finance | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 27¢ | +$2 |
 Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 37¢ | +$2 |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 9.0¢ | 37¢ | +$3 |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?Finance | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 24¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $36 | 12¢ | 1.2¢ | -$33 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $9 | 34¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 22¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?Finance | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $116 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$114 |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 60,000 and 65,000?Finance | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?Finance | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $11 | 17¢ | 2.9¢ | -$9 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 4.4¢ | 4.3¢ | -$0 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 4.8¢ | 7.6¢ | +$1 |
| Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?Culture | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 4.8¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $31 | 10¢ | 0.6¢ | -$29 |
| Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Politics | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 15¢ | +$0 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $4 | 9.0¢ | 3.4¢ | -$3 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $27 | 9.2¢ | 0.5¢ | -$26 |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000?Finance | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $8 | 2.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$6 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $39 | 13¢ | 0.4¢ | -$38 |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?Finance | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $479 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$479 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 14?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 7?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Drake have exactly 1 song in the Billboard top 10?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Hong Kong have between 400-425mm of precipitation in June?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will CZ post 140-159 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL | YesResolved | $3 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.50–$1.75 in May?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $757 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$757 |
 Will voter turnout be <52% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Reds win?Other sports | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be below -3%?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 7?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Philippines vs. Myanmar end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $9 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 5?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 18?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 18?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 14?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 14?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Drake have exactly 3 songs in the Billboard top 10?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 16?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on June 13?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–$3.50 in May?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Cashed out Yes · Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$1959d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?$3510d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$51mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$601mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?$952mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$452mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$102mo ago