Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $644 | 39¢ | 54¢ | +$236 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $741 | 45¢ | 42¢ | -$58 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $288 | 76¢ | 82¢ | +$23 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $127 | 43¢ | 81¢ | +$114 |
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $53 | 45¢ | 63¢ | +$22 |
| Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $54 | 28¢ | 39¢ | +$21 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $70 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$6 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $116 | 7.1¢ | 3.6¢ | -$57 |
| Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $36 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$2 |
| Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $51 | 26¢ | 18¢ | -$16 |
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $24 | 32¢ | 47¢ | +$11 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $21 | 1.3¢ | 2.0¢ | +$12 |
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Culture | Yes | $36 | 89¢ | 81¢ | -$3 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $28 | 62¢ | 70¢ | +$3 |
| Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $26 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $43 | 36¢ | 21¢ | -$18 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $39 | 13¢ | 8.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $21 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?Politics | Yes | $17 | 47¢ | 59¢ | +$4 |
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $12 | 16¢ | 27¢ | +$8 |
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$3 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $16 | 25¢ | 29¢ | +$3 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $44 | 2.6¢ | 0.9¢ | -$28 |
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $25 | 33¢ | 21¢ | -$9 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $31 | 10¢ | 4.9¢ | -$16 |
| Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $20 | 10¢ | 7.0¢ | -$6 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 22¢ | 40¢ | +$5 |
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?Culture | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 22¢ | +$7 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $36 | 12¢ | 2.9¢ | -$28 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 33¢ | +$5 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $10 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $5 | 12¢ | 18¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $4 | 5.9¢ | 12¢ | +$4 |
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $3 | 4.6¢ | 9.7¢ | +$4 |
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $8 | 18¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?Culture | Yes | $1 | 3.5¢ | 16¢ | +$5 |
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 14¢ | +$2 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $8 | 12¢ | 8.9¢ | -$2 |
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $4 | 8.0¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $4 | 9.0¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $11 | 24¢ | 12¢ | -$6 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $11 | 17¢ | 8.0¢ | -$6 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $27 | 9.2¢ | 1.7¢ | -$22 |
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Politics | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Finance | Yes | $1 | 2.8¢ | 10¢ | +$3 |
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?Finance | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 29¢ | +$2 |
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?Finance | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 28¢ | +$2 |
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000?Finance | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 27¢ | +$2 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $1 | 19¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $4 | 8.8¢ | 8.5¢ | -$0 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $9 | 34¢ | 15¢ | -$5 |
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 36¢ | +$2 |
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 33¢ | +$1 |
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.0¢ | 8.2¢ | +$3 |
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 60,000 and 65,000?Finance | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 9.0¢ | 25¢ | +$2 |
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 40 and 43 inclusive?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.9¢ | 6.9¢ | +$1 |
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?Finance | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 4.8¢ | 7.5¢ | +$1 |
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 4.4¢ | 4.2¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $10 | 3.4¢ | 0.5¢ | -$9 |
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Politics | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 15¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $8 | 2.5¢ | 0.5¢ | -$6 |
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000?Finance | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ | 9.7¢ | +$1 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?Finance | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 9.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 1.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 24?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.4¢ | 3.8¢ | +$0 |
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 80,000 and 85,000?Finance | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 7.3¢ | -$1 |
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?Politics | Yes | $3 | 7.8¢ | 3.0¢ | -$2 |
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $479 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$479 |
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 14?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 7?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Drake have exactly 1 song in the Billboard top 10?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Hong Kong have between 400-425mm of precipitation in June?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL | YesResolved | $3 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.50–$1.75 in May?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $757 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$757 |
| Will voter turnout be <52% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Reds win?Other sports | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be below -3%?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 7?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Philippines vs. Myanmar end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $9 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 5?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |