US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 64¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Politics | Yes | $8 | 82¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?NFL | No | $9 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Tech | No | $9 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 43¢ | 91¢ | +$5 |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 40¢ | 89¢ | +$5 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 74¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $7 | 72¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17?Crypto | No | $9 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will Arthur Jarvis win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 47¢ | 84¢ | +$4 |
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-08-30?Soccer (other) | No | $6 | 59¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $8 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $9 | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Politics | No | $5 | 46¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $7 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $5 | 48¢ | 77¢ | +$3 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 69¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Politics | No | $7 | 73¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 58¢ | 75¢ | +$2 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 56¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $7 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 74¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | No | $6 | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $5 | 45¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 57¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Finance | Yes | $6 | 63¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $6 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3 | 34¢ | 64¢ | +$3 |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Politics | No | $5 | 47¢ | 59¢ | +$1 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $7 | 67¢ | 58¢ | -$1 |
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 73¢ | 56¢ | -$2 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?Finance | Yes | $4 | 43¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 27¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 45¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $5 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $6 | 58¢ | 55¢ | -$0 |
Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Politics | No | $5 | 45¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Politics | No | $4 | 41¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $7 | 66¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
Will Jan Liggett win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 53¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 34¢ | 52¢ | +$2 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | No | $5 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Politics | Yes | $3 | 45¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 49¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 46¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | No | $6 | 64¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 44¢ | 49¢ | +$0 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 39¢ | 48¢ | +$1 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15?Crypto | No | $4 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 53¢ | 46¢ | -$1 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Politics | No | $5 | 50¢ | 46¢ | -$0 |
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics | No | $5 | 47¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $3 | 66¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $5 | 47¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $3 | 42¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 53¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 46¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?Politics | No | $5 | 48¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 68¢ | 43¢ | -$3 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 52¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Economy | No | $3 | 30¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $4 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 44¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $3 | 32¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $3 | 39¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 38¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Politics | No | $5 | 49¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 41¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 65¢ | 40¢ | -$3 |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 41¢ | 39¢ | -$0 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $3 | 63¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 48¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 47¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |