Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $173 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$20 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $120 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$23 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $82 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $74 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $29 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $28 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $19 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 44¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 39¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $8 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?NFL | YesResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?Other sports | YesResolved | $1 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics | YesResolved | $7 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $188 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$188 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $18 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Other sports | YesResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?Other sports | NoResolved | $8 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Thailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?Other sports | YesResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |