← Whale Watch

Trading4Fridge

Predicting since Mar 20231,819 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $9.3K on Politics markets since Mar 2023.

Right now: $5.6K across 3 Economy markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.8K on Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3.0K90¢98¢+$288
Weed rescheduled by December 31?PoliticsYes$3.8K35¢23¢-$1.3K
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$1.4K48¢81¢+$986
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$1.9K87¢100¢+$272
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.8K49¢36¢-$756
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$1.1K16¢24¢+$516
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$1.0K40¢60¢+$489
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K67¢88¢+$341
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4.2K38¢12¢-$2.9K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$86472¢99¢+$323
Trump goes to space in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K95¢98¢+$42
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$1.0K62¢69¢+$111
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1.0K81¢84¢+$36
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$1.1K75¢67¢-$125
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$63069¢100¢+$282
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$15616¢92¢+$738
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$86076¢76¢-$6
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$72087¢97¢+$86
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$94532¢24¢-$242
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsNo$80143¢31¢-$220
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?PoliticsNo$49982¢92¢+$58
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechYes$1.2K64¢29¢-$661
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$8717¢98¢+$431
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$4.4K10¢0.9¢-$4.0K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$21050¢93¢+$179
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsYes$26581¢97¢+$51
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$49117¢11¢-$179
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$38734¢27¢-$84
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$3116.6¢6.3¢-$15
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$71260¢15¢-$530
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$34015¢7.6¢-$162
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$23918¢13¢-$73
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?PoliticsNo$11464¢87¢+$39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$21532¢19¢-$92
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?PoliticsYes$9839¢49¢+$24
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechYes$8411¢14¢+$29
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?PoliticsNo$10898¢99¢+$2
NATO dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$8092¢97¢+$5
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?PoliticsYes$5911¢13¢+$10
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$10832¢20¢-$40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsYes$12328¢14¢-$63
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$9477¢44¢-$41
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$26229¢5.5¢-$212
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?PoliticsNo$4183¢100¢+$8
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$5345.3¢0.4¢-$489
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$4630¢28¢-$2
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$328.0¢5.5¢-$10
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?PoliticsYes$11165¢13¢-$89
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?PoliticsYes$8326¢6.5¢-$63
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4734¢13¢-$30
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?TechYes$216.8¢4.7¢-$7
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$2518¢11¢-$11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1138¢38¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$59140¢0.8¢-$580
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$16716¢1.1¢-$157
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$1.6K38¢0.3¢-$1.6K
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1887¢38¢-$10
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsYes$127.0¢4.0¢-$5
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$695¢98¢+$0
Weed rescheduled by July 31?PoliticsNo$360¢99¢+$2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$29322¢0.4¢-$289
Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?PoliticsYes$1040¢12¢-$7
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?PoliticsYes$8717¢0.5¢-$85
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?PoliticsYes$8717¢0.4¢-$85
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$122¢45¢+$1
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?PoliticsYes$8717¢0.4¢-$85
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsYes$2762¢4.5¢-$25
La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRoBoxingSamy RiversResolved$405.7¢0.0¢-$40
La Velada del Año 6: Lit Killah vs Kidd KeoBoxingKidd KeoResolved$139.0¢0.0¢-$13
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgBoxingIlloJuanResolved$15816¢0.0¢-$158

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$9.3K
Economy-$4.9K
Mentions+$1.1K
Weather+$352
Tech-$326
Crypto+$322
Boxing-$210
Culture-$175
NFL-$147
Premier League+$131
Finance+$91
NBA+$51
Biggest hit
+$1.8K
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Toughest beat
-$817
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?$02h ago
  • Cashed out Plex · La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. Fernanfloo$3.0K9h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$20010h ago
  • Cashed out Parce · La Velada del Año 6: La Parce vs Fabiana Sevillano$65811h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$011h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$011h ago
  • Cashed out Velasco · La Velada del Año 6: Alondrissa vs Angie Velasco$1.1K11h ago
  • MERGE La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefg$1.1K11h ago
  • Cashed out Díaz · La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer$23811h ago
  • Cashed out Natalia MX · La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MX$1.4K11h ago
  • Bought TheGrefg · La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefg$1.1K11h ago
  • Sold IlloJuan · La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefg$5211h ago