← Whale Watch

nilestrades

Predicting since Feb 2026920 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1612¢13¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1538¢36¢-$1
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1157¢56¢-$0
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoYes$825¢30¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$678¢98¢+$1
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$798¢100¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$722¢17¢-$1
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$57.8¢8.5¢+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$723¢17¢-$2
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$562¢63¢+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$250¢100¢+$2
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$384¢98¢+$1
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$320¢25¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$262¢88¢+$1
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$48.7¢6.5¢-$1
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$32.8¢2.5¢-$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoYes$34.1¢2.9¢-$1
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?PoliticsYes$254¢46¢-$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$224¢24¢-$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$174¢80¢+$0
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsYes$222¢18¢-$0
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?PoliticsNo$195¢97¢+$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$123¢22¢-$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$11.1¢1.1¢-$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$114¢13¢-$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$111¢12¢+$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$186¢93¢+$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$191¢95¢+$0
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$145¢0.0¢-$1
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$369¢0.0¢-$3
Will England win on 2026-07-05?World CupNoResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$40.9¢0.0¢-$4
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$1846¢0.0¢-$18
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$433¢0.0¢-$4
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?World CupYesResolved$729¢0.0¢-$7
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$739¢0.0¢-$7
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$33.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?World CupYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$202
Crypto-$186
World Cup-$58
NBA+$4
Culture-$4
Soccer (other)+$2
Tech+$2
Finance+$2
Weather-$1
Mentions+$1
Economy-$0
UFC / MMA-$0
Biggest hit
+$139
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$24h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$74h ago
  • Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$64h ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$24h ago
  • Bought Yes · Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?$14h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$34h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$44h ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$24h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$14h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$964h ago
  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$58h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$121h ago