 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $808 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$17 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | No | $486 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $401 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$26 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | No | $370 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $309 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$15 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $125 | 36¢ | 84¢ | +$169 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $275 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $230 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$10 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $229 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Politics | No | $223 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics | No | $218 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$3 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $183 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $179 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $184 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Politics | No | $131 | 59¢ | 85¢ | +$56 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $174 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$13 |
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $171 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$13 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $155 | 77¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $143 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $119 | 47¢ | 59¢ | +$28 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $130 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$9 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $135 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $130 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $132 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$2 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $117 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$9 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Politics | No | $98 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | No | $96 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | No | $91 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $88 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $102 | 34¢ | 31¢ | -$11 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $75 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$12 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $54 | 34¢ | 51¢ | +$27 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $85 | 85¢ | 81¢ | -$4 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 15¢ | 76¢ | +$61 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $54 | 54¢ | 69¢ | +$15 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 54¢ | +$30 |
 Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Politics | No | $59 | 69¢ | 63¢ | -$6 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics | No | $50 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $49 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $48 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Politics | No | $44 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $61 | 61¢ | 45¢ | -$17 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $45 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $42 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | No | $41 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $37 | 75¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $40 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $37 | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Politics | No | $29 | 73¢ | 92¢ | +$7 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $36 | 72¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $36 | 72¢ | 64¢ | -$4 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 63¢ | -$8 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $27 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | No | $28 | 92¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
 Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 53¢ | 61¢ | +$2 |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $14 | 72¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 70¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?Weather | Yes | $6 | 30¢ | 56¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?Politics | No | $6 | 55¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$7 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $18 | 35¢ | 13¢ | -$11 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 26¢ | 4.7¢ | -$21 |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.2¢ | 4.2¢ | -$4 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 7.9¢ | 6.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $9 | 3.1¢ | 1.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 1.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 37¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $9 | 8.9¢ | 2.8¢ | -$6 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 18¢ | 2.6¢ | -$11 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$0 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Finance | Yes | $7 | 37¢ | 7.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$0 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 8.8¢ | 6.9¢ | -$0 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $1 | 38¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 5.3¢ | -$2 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Mohammad Pakpour be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will anyone say "Power" during President Curtis E6 S1?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will anyone say "Leprechaun" during President Curtis E6 S1?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will anyone say "Prayer" during House of the Dragon E8 S3?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will anyone say "Sword" during House of the Dragon E8 S3?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
