 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $650 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$17 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $583 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $549 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$7 |
 José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Politics | No | $480 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$29 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $312 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$25 |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $283 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$8 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $200 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $184 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $174 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$15 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $183 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $150 | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$17 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $153 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $143 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $135 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Politics | No | $136 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $130 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$5 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | No | $131 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $96 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $95 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?Politics | No | $93 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $95 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $86 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $90 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $84 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $84 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $68 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $66 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $66 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $64 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $55 | 69¢ | 79¢ | +$8 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $61 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $55 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $54 | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $54 | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $68 | 68¢ | 47¢ | -$22 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 90¢ | +$6 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 15¢ | 44¢ | +$29 |
 Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $42 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $45 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $43 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $42 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 26¢ | 43¢ | +$17 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $44 | 89¢ | 84¢ | -$2 |
| Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | Yes | $41 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $36 | 36¢ | 41¢ | +$5 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | No | $36 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 29¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $36 | 72¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
| Will anyone say "Prophecy" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | Yes | $15 | 52¢ | 95¢ | +$13 |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?Politics | No | $37 | 74¢ | 53¢ | -$11 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $24 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
| Will anyone say "Storm" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | Yes | $23 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $22 | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $23 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Politics | No | $36 | 36¢ | 24¢ | -$13 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 62¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 53¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 30¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of July?Finance | Yes | $16 | 80¢ | 57¢ | -$5 |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.2¢ | 10.0¢ | +$2 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?Politics | No | $6 | 55¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 73¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 18¢ | 9.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 37¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 61¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 58¢ | 32¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 82¢ | 50¢ | -$3 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Finance | No | $4 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $6 | 10¢ | 8.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.9¢ | 12¢ | +$2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $7 | 24¢ | 16¢ | -$3 |
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 19¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | Yes | $18 | 59¢ | 8.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Finance | Yes | $7 | 37¢ | 10¢ | -$5 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |