← Whale Watch

lottonakamoto

Predicting since Nov 2024629 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.4K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $1.9K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.1K on Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K87¢89¢+$27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K88¢92¢+$49
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K80¢85¢+$59
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.2K89¢92¢+$38
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoNo$81687¢94¢+$65
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$73894¢95¢+$9
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$53036¢36¢+$4
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsYes$29250¢54¢+$20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$33995¢86¢-$32
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?PoliticsNo$31189¢82¢-$24
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?CryptoNo$27188¢90¢+$5
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?PoliticsNo$19990¢95¢+$10
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoYes$44616¢6.3¢-$270
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16076¢76¢-$1
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12490¢91¢+$1
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$10671¢72¢+$2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$9756¢57¢+$3
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$10285¢73¢-$14
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$8798¢99¢+$1
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$8289¢90¢+$1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$7292¢91¢-$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsNo$6851¢47¢-$6
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5871¢73¢+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5389¢91¢+$1
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$7228¢20¢-$22
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$4589¢89¢+$0
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$4396¢97¢+$0
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3984¢88¢+$2
Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$3896¢96¢+$0
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?TechNo$3484¢84¢-$0
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$3082¢80¢-$1
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$1461¢82¢+$5
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? PoliticsNo$1891¢92¢+$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$1758¢58¢+$0
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?PoliticsYes$2416¢11¢-$8
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$159.9¢8.5¢-$2
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?PoliticsYes$200.8¢0.5¢-$7
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechYes$3854¢18¢-$25
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$1363¢63¢+$0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$1260¢56¢-$1
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?TechYes$1118¢17¢-$1
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$1261¢48¢-$3
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsNo$994¢96¢+$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1013¢13¢-$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$992¢92¢-$0
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$990¢91¢+$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$988¢88¢+$0
Will Waymo launch in Charlotte, NC by December 31 2026?TechYes$955¢55¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$879¢81¢+$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYes$769¢69¢-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?CryptoNo$766¢68¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?PoliticsYes$830¢26¢-$1
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsYes$619¢18¢-$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$657¢56¢-$0
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$662¢54¢-$1
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?PoliticsNo$595¢97¢+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$516¢16¢-$0
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$494¢99¢+$0
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$495¢98¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$426¢27¢+$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$461¢61¢-$0
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsYes$515¢13¢-$1
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$332¢38¢+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$329¢25¢-$0
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$22.6¢2.6¢+$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$1218¢3.1¢-$10
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsNo$263¢69¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$331¢21¢-$1
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?PoliticsYes$29.5¢10¢+$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$210¢9.0¢-$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$234¢33¢-$0
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechYes$23.5¢2.4¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$52.6¢0.7¢-$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 10?CryptoYesResolved$1067¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?CryptoYesResolved$13.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$770¢0.0¢-$7
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$6318¢0.0¢-$63
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 5?CryptoYesResolved$614¢0.0¢-$6
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$2038¢0.0¢-$20
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$45.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$42.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$87.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on July 23?CryptoNoResolved$660¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$532¢0.0¢-$5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$52.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$12414¢0.0¢-$124
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 6-12?CryptoYesResolved$341.2¢0.0¢-$34
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$661¢0.0¢-$6
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 9?CryptoYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$2.4K
Champions League-$1.7K
La Liga+$1.1K
Soccer (other)+$611
eSports-$205
Weather+$157
Economy-$152
Tech-$140
Culture+$121
World Cup-$105
Crypto-$98
Premier League+$7
Biggest hit
+$2.1K
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Toughest beat
-$3.2K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$734m ago
  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$61h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$11h ago
  • Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$92h ago
  • Bought Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$172h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$1882h ago
  • Bought No · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$92h ago
  • Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$92h ago
  • Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$84h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$14h ago
  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$64h ago
  • Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1524h ago