← Whale Watch

SickandTired

Predicting since Apr 2024733 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.5K on Crypto markets since Apr 2024.

Right now: $3.6K across 2 Tech markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.9K on EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?TechNo$3.6K95¢97¢+$52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.9K96¢99¢+$110
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.0K95¢95¢+$7
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?PoliticsNo$70097¢99¢+$16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$62589¢99¢+$71
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$75384¢76¢-$73
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$50082¢91¢+$56
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$47094¢99¢+$27
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?TechNo$50099¢98¢-$3
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$46994¢99¢+$24
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsNo$47384¢87¢+$13
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$48296¢97¢+$2
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$47599¢99¢-$0
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceNo$47094¢94¢-$3
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?PoliticsNo$41493¢94¢+$8
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$43198¢92¢-$27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$21772¢100¢+$83
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?PoliticsNo$21758¢79¢+$78
Will Squid launch a token by July 31, 2026?CryptoNo$26789¢95¢+$18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$28294¢92¢-$7
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$21570¢87¢+$53
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" this week?MentionsYes$24893¢95¢+$5
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNo$20097¢97¢+$1
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?TechNo$17286¢99¢+$27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsYes$17085¢98¢+$25
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$16281¢95¢+$28
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsNo$17889¢95¢+$11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$16080¢92¢+$23
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?PoliticsNo$14798¢98¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$10178¢93¢+$19
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11092¢94¢+$2
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$11386¢81¢-$6
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$10090¢93¢+$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$8181¢99¢+$18
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$9292¢98¢+$6
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?FinanceNo$8888¢97¢+$9
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsNo$8787¢96¢+$9
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by July 31?FinanceNo$9191¢96¢+$5
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?TechNo$10043¢42¢-$4
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$9191¢95¢+$4
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$8181¢95¢+$14
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$6868¢94¢+$25
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?PoliticsNo$9780¢77¢-$4
Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?EconomyYes$6771¢90¢+$18
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?TechNo$8080¢81¢+$1
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$7290¢99¢+$7
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$5277¢95¢+$12
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5083¢89¢+$4
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$4791¢99¢+$4
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5098¢99¢+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?TechNo$4385¢99¢+$7
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$5375¢70¢-$3
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?TechYes$4487¢97¢+$5
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoNo$4386¢95¢+$4
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$4076¢87¢+$5
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$3171¢97¢+$11
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$4181¢81¢+$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyNo$4083¢84¢+$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$3364¢72¢+$4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$3690¢90¢+$0
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$3587¢90¢+$1
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?TechNo$2041¢65¢+$12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3074¢81¢+$3
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?TechNo$1946¢77¢+$13
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$3263¢63¢-$0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$2272¢99¢+$8
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?PoliticsNo$3060¢57¢-$1
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$3068¢65¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsNo$2468¢81¢+$4
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2958¢55¢-$1
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$2563¢66¢+$1
Will XRP reach $1.20 in July?CryptoNo$2068¢83¢+$4
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$2480¢82¢+$1
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$1755¢78¢+$7
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?PoliticsNo$2481¢78¢-$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$2061¢66¢+$1
AWS service disrupted by July 31?TechNo$2170¢72¢+$0
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoNo$2272¢71¢-$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1784¢99¢+$3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2182¢79¢-$1
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1364¢99¢+$7
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1784¢96¢+$2
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1048¢96¢+$10
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$1892¢95¢+$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1787¢92¢+$1
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechNo$1890¢91¢+$0
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?PoliticsNo$1888¢90¢+$0
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$1890¢89¢-$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$1784¢88¢+$1
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1890¢86¢-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1471¢83¢+$2
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1265¢88¢+$4
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$1680¢80¢-$0
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsNo$1576¢79¢+$1
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?WeatherNo$1575¢76¢+$0
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?PoliticsNo$1680¢76¢-$1
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$1271¢92¢+$3
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?PoliticsNo$1020¢30¢+$5
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$1680¢69¢-$2
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$1471¢68¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$3.5K
Politics+$925
Tech+$495
World Cup+$126
Economy-$111
Finance+$64
Mentions+$5
Tennis-$3
Formula 1+$1
Weather+$0
Biggest hit
+$3.9K
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$527m ago
  • Bought No · Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?$50044m ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$946m ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$62h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" this week?$2492h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?$1752h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?$2572h ago
  • Bought No · Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?$1473h ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$53h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$1484h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1944h ago
  • Cashed out No · Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25?$2749h ago