 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $265 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $218 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$16 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $227 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $223 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $169 | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$44 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $193 | 78¢ | 82¢ | +$10 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $88 | 41¢ | 83¢ | +$87 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $151 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$14 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $127 | 68¢ | 89¢ | +$38 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $191 | 87¢ | 74¢ | -$30 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $138 | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$9 |
 Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $108 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will CDU win 45 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $104 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $101 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $101 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $101 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $117 | 54¢ | 43¢ | -$25 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 31¢ | 40¢ | +$17 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $66 | 61¢ | 67¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $76 | 69¢ | 64¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $59 | 55¢ | 60¢ | +$5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $50 | 48¢ | 51¢ | +$3 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$2 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 69¢ | 92¢ | +$12 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $49 | 31¢ | 28¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 39¢ | 35¢ | -$5 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $39 | 36¢ | 34¢ | -$3 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $119 | 50¢ | 14¢ | -$87 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $32 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $38 | 36¢ | 31¢ | -$6 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $48 | 7.0¢ | 3.8¢ | -$22 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 52¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $29 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$6 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 12¢ | 7.6¢ | -$10 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $22 | 9.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$9 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $19 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 10¢ | 4.8¢ | -$10 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 6.5¢ | 7.8¢ | +$1 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $15 | 6.4¢ | 3.5¢ | -$7 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $15 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$8 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $21 | 11¢ | 3.4¢ | -$14 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $44 | 14¢ | 1.1¢ | -$41 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 7.7¢ | 9.7¢ | +$1 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $41 | 16¢ | 0.5¢ | -$40 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $39 | 18¢ | 0.7¢ | -$37 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | Yes | $10 | 4.2¢ | 0.4¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1 | 67¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $84 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $133 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $51 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $86 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$86 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $77 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $305 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$305 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $121 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $188 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$188 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $114 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $120 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $32 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?$1027h ago
Cashed out Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$2901d ago