 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $461 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$66 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $364 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$14 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $334 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$16 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $235 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $206 | 39¢ | 43¢ | +$23 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $197 | 58¢ | 64¢ | +$17 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $212 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $207 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $200 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $201 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $165 | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $97 | 13¢ | 21¢ | +$59 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $131 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$6 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $105 | 92¢ | 78¢ | -$16 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $119 | 50¢ | 36¢ | -$35 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $102 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$34 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $54 | 23¢ | 22¢ | -$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $39 | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$3 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $58 | 7.0¢ | 4.8¢ | -$19 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $36 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$3 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $48 | 25¢ | 20¢ | -$11 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $19 | 9.7¢ | 14¢ | +$9 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $26 | 85¢ | 79¢ | -$2 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $66 | 16¢ | 5.5¢ | -$43 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $14 | 13¢ | 21¢ | +$8 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 18¢ | 9.4¢ | -$17 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 25¢ | 7.5¢ | -$30 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $11 | 4.0¢ | 3.7¢ | -$1 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 10¢ | 5.2¢ | -$10 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | Yes | $10 | 4.2¢ | 2.8¢ | -$4 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $15 | 6.4¢ | 1.7¢ | -$11 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $133 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $51 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $86 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$86 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $77 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $121 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $114 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $120 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $32 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
