 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $38 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $32 | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $36 | 59¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $37 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $32 | 80¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $32 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $26 | 41¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $22 | 63¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 59¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 79¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $14 | 69¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $15 | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 52¢ | 73¢ | +$4 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $12 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 20¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $11 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $12 | 83¢ | 65¢ | -$3 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 19¢ | 26¢ | +$2 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $8 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Politics | Yes | $9 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $7 | 69¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 69¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $6 | 26¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $3 | 60¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 76¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 6.6¢ | 8.8¢ | +$1 |
 Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Politics | Yes | $2 | 50¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 60¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 78¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $3 | 49¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $3 | 69¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 68¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 54¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $1 | 30¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $3 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 56¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $3 | 67¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 36¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 21¢ | 5.5¢ | -$7 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 39¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 41¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $2 | 49¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $4 | 27¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $2 | 43¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | Yes | $1 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
 Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $9 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$22d ago
Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$13d ago
Sold No · Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$43d ago