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Hakadashi

Predicting since Jul 202553 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$14097¢99¢+$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3588¢93¢+$2
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?PoliticsNo$2569¢87¢+$7
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2588¢99¢+$3
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsNo$2591¢95¢+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2072¢81¢+$3
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2133¢36¢+$2
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$2098¢99¢+$0
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2092¢93¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$2087¢85¢-$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1086¢92¢+$1
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1086¢91¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1078¢83¢+$1
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1095¢99¢+$0
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1083¢86¢+$0
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1036¢37¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1096¢99¢+$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1570¢48¢-$5
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1083¢72¢-$1
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1026¢20¢-$3
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$593¢99¢+$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$576¢79¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$543¢45¢+$0
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$592¢89¢-$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsNo$554¢32¢-$2
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$236¢26¢-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1547¢0.0¢-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$187.5¢0.0¢-$18
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$5250¢0.0¢-$52

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$26
Tech+$6
Biggest hit
+$19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$4
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?$241d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$53d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$23d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$103d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?$103d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$53d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$53d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$23d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$23d ago
  • Cashed out No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?$114d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$54d ago
  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$124d ago