omegadota2

Predicting since Jul 202654 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy	Yes	$78	21¢	79¢	+$217
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$106	19¢	27¢	+$43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$83	27¢	29¢	+$5
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics	Yes	$61	47¢	55¢	+$9
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$67	22¢	22¢	+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics	Yes	$78	15¢	13¢	-$14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics	Yes	$45	54¢	60¢	+$5
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy	Yes	$42	24¢	28¢	+$7
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics	No	$48	90¢	88¢	-$1
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$57	11¢	9.0¢	-$12
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics	Yes	$39	27¢	30¢	+$4
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$41	24¢	24¢	+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$34	46¢	56¢	+$7
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics	Yes	$38	73¢	74¢	+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$28	46¢	54¢	+$5
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics	Yes	$52	4.7¢	2.8¢	-$22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics	Yes	$27	92¢	96¢	+$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy	Yes	$29	77¢	71¢	-$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics	No	$35	3.6¢	2.8¢	-$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics	Yes	$23	25¢	27¢	+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$20	50¢	61¢	+$4
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$20	78¢	87¢	+$2
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics	No	$26	36¢	30¢	-$4
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics	Yes	$20	67¢	69¢	+$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy	Yes	$69	76¢	20¢	-$51
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics	Yes	$18	62¢	60¢	-$1
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$16	83¢	81¢	-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$16	19¢	17¢	-$2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics	Yes	$37	21¢	7.5¢	-$24
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$16	4.5¢	3.5¢	-$3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$14	3.6¢	3.1¢	-$2
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics	Yes	$13	12¢	8.5¢	-$4
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics	Yes	$6	55¢	30¢	-$3
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$17	39¢	0.0¢	-$17

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Economy+$174

Tech+$166

Politics+$41

Crypto-$10

Biggest hit

+$263

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$71

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$355h ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$347h ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$697h ago
Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$867h ago
Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?$37h ago
Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$812h ago
Sold No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$317h ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3917h ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5321h ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3122h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3222h ago
Bought No · Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?$481d ago