Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$48 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 25¢ | 63¢ | +$51 |
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?Politics | NoResolved | $43 | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$33 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $41 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$23 |
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | NoResolved | $54 | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $44 | 47¢ | 67¢ | +$18 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | YesResolved | $31 | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$20 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $17 | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$25 |
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $28 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 51¢ | 64¢ | +$6 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $55 | 66¢ | 37¢ | -$25 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 49¢ | 28¢ | -$21 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 42¢ | 28¢ | -$11 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | NoResolved | $13 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $36 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$20 |
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 6.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$5 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $17 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$9 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $14 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$7 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $17 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $14 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Economy | NoResolved | $15 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $30 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | NoResolved | $15 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |