← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Aug 2023214 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.3K on Politics markets since Aug 2023.

Biggest hit: +$1.0K on US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10038¢43¢+$13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$10039¢38¢-$4
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$5035¢68¢+$46
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10010¢9.5¢-$5
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$10028¢24¢-$17
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?PoliticsYes$10011¢8.5¢-$23
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceYes$10017¢13¢-$26
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$10013¢9.6¢-$28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsYes$10022¢12¢-$45
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsYes$10029¢14¢-$50
Natural Disaster in 2026?WeatherYes$10044¢22¢-$50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$10026¢13¢-$52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$10015¢5.5¢-$64
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsYes$10014¢4.3¢-$69
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10026¢7.4¢-$72
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsYes$10019¢4.3¢-$77
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$10027¢3.2¢-$88
Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10013¢0.0¢-$100
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1008.0¢0.0¢-$100
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?CultureNoResolved$10012¢0.0¢-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5017¢0.0¢-$50
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceWorld CupGermanyResolved$10040¢0.0¢-$100
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5031¢0.0¢-$50
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10024¢0.0¢-$100
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$30011¢0.0¢-$300
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$10022¢0.0¢-$100
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5025¢0.0¢-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions LeagueYesResolved$10024¢0.0¢-$100
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?PoliticsYesResolved$1002.9¢0.0¢-$100
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$10037¢0.0¢-$100
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?PoliticsYesResolved$506.7¢0.0¢-$50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1008.3¢0.0¢-$100
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$5035¢0.0¢-$50
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?PoliticsYesResolved$10021¢0.0¢-$100
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$10027¢0.0¢-$100
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$20029¢0.0¢-$200
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsNoResolved$1005.7¢0.0¢-$100
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10015¢0.0¢-$100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$10019¢0.0¢-$100
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$10028¢0.0¢-$100
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10016¢0.0¢-$100
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10029¢0.0¢-$100
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?World CupYesResolved$10030¢0.0¢-$100
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1003.8¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10038¢0.0¢-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$5225¢0.0¢-$52
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$10035¢0.0¢-$100
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$5012¢0.0¢-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10028¢0.0¢-$100
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$10034¢0.0¢-$100
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10034¢0.0¢-$100
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10031¢0.0¢-$100
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10036¢0.0¢-$100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$10036¢0.0¢-$100
US forces enter Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10029¢0.0¢-$100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$30024¢0.0¢-$300
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5031¢0.0¢-$50
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$10030¢0.0¢-$100
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.3K
World Cup-$435
Tech+$327
La Liga-$300
Crypto+$214
NBA+$170
Other sports-$107
Culture-$105
Other-$100
Champions League-$100
Premier League-$72
Economy+$40
Biggest hit
+$1.0K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Toughest beat
-$400
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$536d ago
  • Bought France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$20911d ago
  • Bought France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$10411d ago
  • Sold Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$10112d ago