← Whale Watch

ermorvan

Predicting since Apr 202634 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$32061¢80¢+$97
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$30071¢77¢+$23
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$30081¢85¢+$13
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20066¢100¢+$102
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20064¢81¢+$55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$20085¢99¢+$32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20066¢77¢+$32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$20072¢82¢+$28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$20073¢80¢+$18
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$22023¢3.4¢-$188
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$8624¢0.7¢-$83
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$18023¢0.0¢-$180
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$6058¢0.0¢-$60
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$20078¢0.0¢-$200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$30079¢0.0¢-$300

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$180
Tech+$32
Politics-$21
Weather+$0
Biggest hit
+$166
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Toughest beat
-$140
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?$30025d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$20125d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$28425d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$65625d ago
  • Cashed out No · Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$28125d ago