Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | No | $563 | 47¢ | 54¢ | +$84 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | No | $403 | 62¢ | 69¢ | +$49 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $290 | 58¢ | 75¢ | +$84 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1.7K | 23¢ | 4.0¢ | -$1.4K |
US x China Military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $263 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$20 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $168 | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$25 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $136 | 34¢ | 44¢ | +$38 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $100 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$20 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $114 | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$5 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $32 | 32¢ | 88¢ | +$56 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $53 | 70¢ | 90¢ | +$15 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Finance | Yes | $333 | 55¢ | 9.5¢ | -$276 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $72 | 72¢ | 56¢ | -$16 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Finance | Yes | $123 | 31¢ | 5.5¢ | -$101 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 9.0¢ | 3.5¢ | -$33 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $69 | 69¢ | 13¢ | -$57 |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $35 | 3.5¢ | 1.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$3 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $40 | 21¢ | 4.4¢ | -$32 |
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $30 | 17¢ | 1.4¢ | -$28 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?Crypto | YesResolved | $80 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?Finance | YesResolved | $20 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $237 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$237 |
US recession in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $50 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?World Cup | YesResolved | $83 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $64 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Tech | NoResolved | $57 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?Premier League | YesResolved | $60 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?Premier League | NoResolved | $28 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $140 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?Crypto | YesResolved | $97 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
| Will Cape Verde concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | NoResolved | $125 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?World Cup | YesResolved | $16 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?World Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $200 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $240 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$240 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World Cup | YesResolved | $14 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $45 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $112 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$112 |
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | AlgeriaResolved | $35 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $90 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $105 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $54 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | NetherlandsResolved | $60 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $59 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $54 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $74 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $91 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $50 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will France win on 2026-07-18?World Cup | YesResolved | $57 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | MexicoResolved | $139 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$139 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | NoResolved | $27 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $14 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $37 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $168 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$168 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Crypto | YesResolved | $73 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $35 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $224 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$224 |
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $122 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$122 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $66 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ColombiaResolved | $124 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?World Cup | YesResolved | $152 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $96 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $131 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $46 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $158 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$158 |
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $26 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | PortugalResolved | $109 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$109 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $407 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$407 |
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $38 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?World Cup | YesResolved | $39 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | NorwayResolved | $40 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $185 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$185 |
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ParaguayResolved | $7 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $44 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $18 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Weather | YesResolved | $44 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $27 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $925 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$925 |
France vs. England: Team to WinWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $252 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$252 |
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?World Cup | YesResolved | $82 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |