Paoul1992

Predicting since Jun 2026224 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$21	71¢	81¢	+$3
Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?Politics	Yes	$21	79¢	87¢	+$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$18	92¢	92¢	-$0
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics	No	$17	85¢	87¢	+$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics	No	$15	49¢	56¢	+$2
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics	No	$17	76¢	76¢	-$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics	No	$14	68¢	77¢	+$2
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?Culture	No	$14	81¢	95¢	+$2
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics	No	$16	79¢	77¢	-$1
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics	No	$15	55¢	60¢	+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	No	$14	77¢	86¢	+$2
Glean IPO before 2027?Tech	No	$15	87¢	91¢	+$1
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics	No	$17	62¢	56¢	-$2
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$15	54¢	56¢	+$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech	No	$15	66¢	66¢	+$0
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Politics	Yes	$15	76¢	76¢	-$0
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLB	No	$15	65¢	65¢	+$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Tech	No	$15	77¢	77¢	+$0
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics	Yes	$15	70¢	71¢	+$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech	No	$15	83¢	84¢	+$0
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics	No	$15	50¢	50¢	-$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Politics	No	$14	83¢	86¢	+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics	No	$14	84¢	85¢	+$0
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics	No	$15	68¢	66¢	-$1
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?Politics	Yes	$14	83¢	83¢	+$0
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?Economy	No	$14	75¢	72¢	-$1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Economy	Yes	$14	72¢	55¢	-$3
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics	Yes	$15	54¢	40¢	-$4
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Politics	No	$8	58¢	65¢	+$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics	No	$14	60¢	39¢	-$5
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics	Yes	$15	55¢	34¢	-$6
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	No	$4	65¢	64¢	-$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	48¢	48¢	+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$42

World Cup-$16

Culture+$13

Tech-$10

Economy+$10

eSports+$9

Soccer (other)-$7

Politics-$6

Formula 1+$5

Weather+$5

Finance-$2

MLB+$1

Biggest hit

+$8

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$13

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?$154h ago
Bought No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$154h ago
Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 26?$219h ago
Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 26?$711h ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1411h ago
Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 26?$1111h ago
Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 25?$414h ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 26?$1418h ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 26?$1418h ago
Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 25?$181d ago
Sold No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$51d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?$141d ago