← Whale Watch

incognitoX

Predicting since Apr 2025211 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1578¢80¢+$0
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1076¢99¢+$3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1385¢80¢-$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$1081¢95¢+$2
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$1084¢95¢+$1
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?PoliticsNo$1088¢97¢+$1
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoCryptoNothing$1091¢95¢+$0
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$1094¢95¢+$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$1091¢91¢-$0
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$1091¢90¢-$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1081¢80¢-$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$1097¢95¢-$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$1061¢57¢-$1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$765¢67¢+$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$791¢90¢-$0
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$579¢99¢+$1
Diddy released from custody in 2026?PoliticsNo$791¢78¢-$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$583¢99¢+$1
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?CultureNo$576¢90¢+$1
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?PoliticsNo$581¢95¢+$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$590¢99¢+$1
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?CultureNo$580¢88¢+$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$590¢96¢+$0
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$594¢100¢+$0
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?PoliticsNo$589¢94¢+$0
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$588¢93¢+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$583¢88¢+$0
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?CultureNo$583¢88¢+$0
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$591¢96¢+$0
James Comey charges dropped by July 31?PoliticsNo$594¢98¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$581¢85¢+$0
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?PoliticsNo$594¢98¢+$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$576¢79¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$591¢95¢+$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$592¢95¢+$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$593¢96¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$593¢96¢+$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$597¢99¢+$0
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?PoliticsNo$320¢34¢+$2
Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?PoliticsNo$598¢99¢+$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureNo$593¢95¢+$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$594¢95¢+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$591¢92¢+$0
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$569¢69¢-$0
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?PoliticsNo$591¢90¢-$0
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?PoliticsNo$583¢81¢-$0
WHOOP IPO before 2027?TechNo$589¢83¢-$0
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?PoliticsNo$579¢73¢-$0
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$591¢83¢-$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$579¢71¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$483¢87¢+$0
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?PoliticsNo$490¢89¢-$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$486¢82¢-$0
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$390¢98¢+$0
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?PoliticsNo$388¢90¢+$0
Paris Hilton pregnant in 2026?CultureNo$596¢58¢-$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$270¢99¢+$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$293¢97¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$291¢95¢+$0
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?CultureNo$274¢75¢+$0
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?CultureNo$180¢86¢+$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$216¢8.5¢-$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$192¢97¢+$0
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$190¢94¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$185¢86¢+$0
Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1015¢0.0¢-$10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$672¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump say "Insurance" during healthcare event?MentionsYesResolved$1095¢0.0¢-$10
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$394¢0.0¢-$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$536¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$101.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$587¢0.0¢-$5
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?CultureNoResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?TechYesResolved$50.9¢0.0¢-$5
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2075¢0.0¢-$20
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1029¢0.0¢-$10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?PoliticsYesResolved$10017¢0.0¢-$100
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$40.6¢0.0¢-$4
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$576¢0.0¢-$5
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupNoResolved$268¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$168¢0.0¢-$1
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$579¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?WeatherNoResolved$158¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?CultureNoResolved$540¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$589¢0.0¢-$5
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$559¢0.0¢-$5
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$588¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$587¢0.0¢-$5
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$259¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?TechNoResolved$266¢0.0¢-$2
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?TechNoResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$576¢0.0¢-$5
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?TechYesResolved$50.7¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Mentions-$45
Tech-$17
Politics-$8
Culture-$3
Economy-$3
UFC / MMA+$2
World Cup+$1
Weather-$1
Crypto+$1
eSports+$1
Biggest hit
+$82
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Toughest beat
-$110
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$105d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$55d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?$26d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$116d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$56d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$510d ago
  • Bought No · Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?$313d ago