Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $966 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$42 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $637 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$16 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $449 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $358 | 57¢ | 66¢ | +$55 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $414 | 74¢ | 70¢ | -$22 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Politics | No | $273 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $168 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$3 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $134 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | No | $148 | 25¢ | 22¢ | -$16 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $87 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$11 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $95 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $93 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $49 | 67¢ | 95¢ | +$21 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $64 | 50¢ | 48¢ | -$3 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $52 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $42 | 47¢ | 56¢ | +$8 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $26 | 55¢ | 91¢ | +$17 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $14 | 40¢ | 86¢ | +$16 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $28 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 40¢ | 14¢ | -$53 |
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $17 | 43¢ | 67¢ | +$9 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | Yes | $86 | 34¢ | 9.0¢ | -$63 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $27 | 76¢ | 62¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $21 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $19 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 36¢ | 27¢ | -$7 |
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $14 | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $28 | 56¢ | 33¢ | -$12 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $17 | 54¢ | 52¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto | No | $16 | 18¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $20 | 37¢ | 28¢ | -$5 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $12 | 69¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $7 | 39¢ | 61¢ | +$4 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 60¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $11 | 45¢ | 42¢ | -$1 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics | No | $6 | 59¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 77¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $29 | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$22 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Politics | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 36¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | No | $3 | 64¢ | 53¢ | -$1 |
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Politics | No | $1 | 69¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnereSports | Hanwha Life EsportsResolved | $1.6K | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnereSports | Dplus KIA ChallengersResolved | $73 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 WinnereSports | LOUDResolved | $267 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$267 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $12 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3eSports | MOUZResolved | $205 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$205 |
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnereSports | Team LiquidResolved | $158 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$158 |
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 2 WinnereSports | CarstenszResolved | $121 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $11 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasoneSports | Eintracht SpandauResolved | $917 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$917 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSports | MOUZResolved | $2.1K | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.1K |
Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on May 11?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 2 WinnereSports | mCon esportsResolved | $101 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?Crypto | NoResolved | $4 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnereSports | Natus VincereResolved | $244 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$244 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $94 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnereSports | REKONIXResolved | $163 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnereSports | Top EsportsResolved | $611 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$611 |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSports | Anyone's LegendResolved | $296 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$296 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 WinnereSports | Bilibili GamingResolved | $2.2K | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSports | Team LiquidResolved | $235 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$235 |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnereSports | T1Resolved | $205 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$205 |
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2eSports | paiNResolved | $77 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffseSports | REKONIXResolved | $248 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$248 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $73 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 11?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 WinnereSports | UCAM Esports ClubResolved | $152 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnereSports | Karmine CorpResolved | $714 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$714 |
LoL: DN SOOPers vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group StageeSports | DN SOOPersResolved | $302 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$302 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $46 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnereSports | Anyone's LegendResolved | $1.9K | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnereSports | Virtus.proResolved | $527 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$527 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $101 | 99¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasoneSports | ROSSMANN CentaursResolved | $378 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$378 |
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 WinnereSports | RED CanidsResolved | $375 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$375 |
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnereSports | FURIA EsportsResolved | $332 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$332 |
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnereSports | G2 EsportsResolved | $40 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $13 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $223 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$223 |
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear - Game 1 WinnereSports | summer bearResolved | $321 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$321 |
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffseSports | L1ga TeamResolved | $239 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$239 |
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnereSports | FURIA EsportsResolved | $281 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$281 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $54 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |