 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 11?Weather | No | $1000 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$362 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $300 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$15 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$7 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 51¢ | 78¢ | +$5 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $13 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $13 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $7 | 44¢ | 88¢ | +$7 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 65¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 83¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 67¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | No | $9 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 55¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 37¢ | 59¢ | +$3 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 45¢ | 84¢ | +$4 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 48¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $3 | 29¢ | 76¢ | +$5 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 68¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 62¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
 Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 6.8¢ | 41¢ | +$5 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$4 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 51¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Tech | No | $4 | 78¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 72¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 93¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
 Will ESPN Fantasy Sports & More be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?Tech | No | $3 | 65¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 96¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 62¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 29¢ | 64¢ | +$2 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 70¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 63¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 54¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 54¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
 OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?Tech | OpenAI | $3 | 67¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $2 | 43¢ | 59¢ | +$1 |
 Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $3 | 58¢ | 53¢ | -$0 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 75¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
 Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffseSports | Chicken Coop Esports | $3 | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 65¢ | 46¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | No | $3 | 53¢ | 46¢ | -$0 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 40¢ | 41¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
 Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 24¢ | 29¢ | +$0 |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Tech | Yes | $1 | 15¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 22¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 28¢ | 9.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 16¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
 Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 9.1¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
| Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 23¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 6.9¢ | 8.9¢ | +$0 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 25¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 23¢ | 22¢ | -$0 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.0¢ | 3.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 21?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 29?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 12?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 17?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 25?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C or higher on July 11?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 6?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 28?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 29?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 8?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on May 27?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 12?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 24?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on May 12?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 26?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 28?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 10?$07h ago
Sold Yes · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?$410h ago
Bought No · Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?$210h ago