← Whale Watch

aureli

Predicting since May 20255,036 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $19K on Politics markets since May 2025.

Right now: $11K across 22 Soccer (other) markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$514¢50¢+$13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$312¢44¢+$8
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes-$00.0¢12¢+$6
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?TechNo$489¢99¢+$1
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1039¢19¢-$5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$00.8¢14¢+$3
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$391¢100¢+$0
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$3100¢100¢-$0
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$399¢100¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$917¢5.5¢-$6
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$364¢50¢-$1
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes-$00.0¢4.3¢+$2
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$299¢100¢+$0
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$299¢100¢+$0
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$299¢99¢+$0
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2100¢99¢-$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$297¢99¢+$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$299¢99¢+$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$299¢99¢-$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$298¢99¢+$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$296¢98¢+$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$297¢97¢+$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10.8¢2.1¢+$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$292¢73¢-$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$00.0¢0.7¢+$1
Will Austria win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$031¢0.0¢-$0
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on September 30?EconomyYesResolved$1.1K11¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Tomio Okamura be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$04.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jazz Hampton win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
2025 September 4th or lower hottest on record?WeatherYesResolved-$9-2.3¢0.0¢+$9
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?EconomyYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will England win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.8K2.4¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?PoliticsYesResolved$13.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)YesResolved$7100.6¢0.0¢-$710
Will Meta have the top AI model on September 30?TechYesResolved$1271.8¢0.0¢-$127
Will a country leave BRICS before 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$02.9¢0.0¢-$0
"Him" Rotten Tomatoes score is 95 or higher?CultureYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on October 31?TechYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2222.3¢0.0¢-$222
Will Yuki Tsunoda finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?CultureYesResolved$31.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 American League Championship?MLBYesResolved$106.9¢0.0¢-$10
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$13.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2622.2¢0.0¢-$262
Will Pablo Lopez win the 2025 AL Cy Young?MLBYesResolved$70.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?PoliticsNoResolved$35.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Caitlin Clark win the 2025 WNBA MVP?Other sportsYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will Arike Ogunbowale win the 2025 WNBA MVP?Other sportsYesResolved-$0-0.3¢0.0¢+$0
Will Lance Stroll finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?EconomyYesResolved$89512¢0.0¢-$895
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$50.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$33.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?PoliticsYesResolved$421.0¢0.0¢-$42
Will George Russell finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Formula 1NoResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?EconomyNoResolved$1971¢0.0¢-$19
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?TechNoResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1260.4¢0.0¢-$126
Will Tencent have the top AI model on September 30?TechYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$52.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$2188.9¢0.0¢-$218
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in September?EconomyYesResolved$9115¢0.0¢-$91
Will Trump announce Rick Rieder as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2622.2¢0.0¢-$262
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on August 31?EconomyYesResolved$2012¢0.0¢-$20
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on September 30?TechYesResolved-$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Racing Bulls finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Dua Lipa be the top Spotify artist for 2025?CultureYesResolved$2930.7¢0.0¢-$293
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$48.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?PoliticsYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Esteban Ocon finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lewis Hamilton finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?CultureYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Inaki Williams be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?La LigaYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$731.2¢0.0¢-$73
Will any other driver finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$133.9¢0.0¢-$13
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$415¢0.0¢-$4
Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?La LigaYesResolved-$0-0.1¢0.0¢+$0
Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)YesResolved$3520.3¢0.0¢-$352
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$95.8¢0.0¢-$9
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$815¢0.0¢-$8
Will Luis Arce win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$690.2¢0.0¢-$69
Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$630.8¢0.0¢-$63
Will Enoch Chihana win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$1-0.4¢0.0¢+$1
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$6416¢0.0¢-$64
Will Adrienne Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$4021.0¢0.0¢-$402
Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2025 AL MVP?MLBYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$19K
Soccer (other)-$11K
Economy-$4.6K
Tech-$4.5K
Culture-$3.0K
NFL-$387
MLB-$286
Formula 1-$143
Weather+$40
Other sports-$30
NBA-$29
Mentions+$19
Biggest hit
+$31
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on May 31?
Toughest beat
-$26
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 9–9.5m