 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $310 | 70¢ | 85¢ | +$66 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $300 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$30 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $211 | 66¢ | 79¢ | +$39 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $232 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$6 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $179 | 83¢ | 96¢ | +$27 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $150 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$18 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $127 | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$30 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $137 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$2 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $110 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$13 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $130 | 80¢ | 70¢ | -$17 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $100 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$8 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 66¢ | 93¢ | +$31 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $92 | 73¢ | 84¢ | +$14 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $90 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$17 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $101 | 72¢ | 65¢ | -$10 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | No | $75 | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$9 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $64 | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$16 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 53¢ | 93¢ | +$33 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $62 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $51 | 76¢ | 90¢ | +$9 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $58 | 65¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 76¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Tech | No | $49 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $126 | 30¢ | 12¢ | -$74 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $84 | 80¢ | 49¢ | -$32 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $39 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics | No | $41 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $42 | 69¢ | 63¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $45 | 73¢ | 62¢ | -$7 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $37 | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 65¢ | 79¢ | +$7 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $44 | 70¢ | 54¢ | -$10 |
 Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Serie A | Yes | $10 | 3.0¢ | 10¢ | +$23 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $30 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 62¢ | 71¢ | +$4 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 56¢ | 89¢ | +$11 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Soccer (other) | No | $27 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $28 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 70¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $23 | 79¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | No | $23 | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 63¢ | 70¢ | +$2 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $21 | 15¢ | 18¢ | +$4 |
| Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Serie A | Yes | $10 | 7.3¢ | 18¢ | +$14 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $40 | 80¢ | 49¢ | -$16 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $46 | 76¢ | 40¢ | -$22 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 50¢ | 84¢ | +$10 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $23 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 66¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 48¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $20 | 65¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
 Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Politics | Yes | $10 | 44¢ | 91¢ | +$11 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $17 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Other sports | No | $15 | 80¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | No | $52 | 62¢ | 20¢ | -$35 |
 Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Basketball (other) | Yes | $14 | 76¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $15 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $12 | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 60¢ | 47¢ | -$5 |
 Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $14 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $13 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $13 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 55¢ | 78¢ | +$4 |
 Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 61¢ | 77¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?Culture | No | $12 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $32 | 18¢ | 7.5¢ | -$19 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $12 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $12 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $11 | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?Politics | Yes | $11 | 72¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 69¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 71¢ | 67¢ | -$1 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $10 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 61¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
 Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | Yes | $12 | 55¢ | 45¢ | -$2 |
| Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $9 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 58¢ | 17¢ | -$21 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 63¢ | 38¢ | -$5 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $14 | 70¢ | 23¢ | -$9 |
| Will Jerome Powell be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 27?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Naples: Matteo Martineau vs Michele RibecaiTennis | Matteo MartineauResolved | $25 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?Weather | NoResolved | $15 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?Weather | NoResolved | $105 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
Cashed out Yes · Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$127d ago