Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $78 | 49¢ | 95¢ | +$74 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $111 | 50¢ | 63¢ | +$28 |
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $33 | 50¢ | 96¢ | +$30 |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $35 | 75¢ | 92¢ | +$7 |
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $31 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 50¢ | 95¢ | +$10 |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $9 | 50¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 50¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $34 | 50¢ | 17¢ | -$22 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 37¢ | -$4 |
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | Yes | $54 | 85¢ | 15¢ | -$45 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $5 | 48¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $3 | 31¢ | 84¢ | +$5 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 50¢ | 27¢ | -$5 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 31¢ | -$4 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 60¢ | +$1 |
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $53 | 50¢ | 5.2¢ | -$47 |
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?Politics | Yes | $8 | 50¢ | 28¢ | -$4 |
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?Politics | Yes | $9 | 50¢ | 21¢ | -$5 |
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 50¢ | 55¢ | +$0 |
Will Miami Marlins win the 2026 NL East title?MLB | NoResolved | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 50¢ | 16¢ | -$5 |
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 31¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 59¢ | 4.5¢ | -$15 |
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $170 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $36 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $126 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $31 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $118 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$118 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | NoResolved | $15 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $200 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $176 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$176 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?World Cup | NoResolved | $50 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $26 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $44 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $14 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $24 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Heavenly Kimes be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?Politics | YesResolved | $57 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $144 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$144 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $463 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$463 |
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Cricket | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 10% and 15%?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?Champions League | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Adrian Mapp be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $93 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $143 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$143 |
Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Portugal be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $48 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $153 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$153 |
Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $17 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $93 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
Will Victor Hill be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $17 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?World Cup | NoResolved | $150 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $111 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Verlina Reynolds-Jackson be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will France win on 2026-07-04?World Cup | NoResolved | $15 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Jaleel Amador be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | SenegalResolved | $250 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Georgia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $28 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $36 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Will Pierre Whatley be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $2.0K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $58 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Brad Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |