← Whale Watch

BreakEven

Predicting since Dec 2024773 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$14281¢93¢+$21
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$591.0¢2.3¢+$73
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$749.9¢12¢+$19
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$3538¢93¢+$50
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$4645¢83¢+$39
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$356.6¢16¢+$47
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechNo$6060¢81¢+$21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$5151¢57¢+$6
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$3955¢61¢+$4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2820¢27¢+$11
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$3361¢63¢+$1
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$400.8¢0.5¢-$13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$2287¢87¢-$0
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$1557¢80¢+$6
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?TechYes$3279¢52¢-$11
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2345¢41¢-$2
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$1364¢88¢+$5
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$851¢96¢+$7
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2040¢26¢-$7
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$9427¢3.4¢-$83
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$541¢34¢-$1
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$1039¢0.0¢-$10
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?eSportsNoResolved$279¢0.0¢-$2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$543¢0.0¢-$5
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupNoResolved$1061¢0.0¢-$10
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 France?World CupYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$1559¢0.0¢-$15
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?World CupYesResolved$21.3¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?World CupYesResolved$23.1¢0.0¢-$2
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5World CupOverResolved$1080¢0.0¢-$10
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 DR Congo?World CupYesResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?World CupYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3021¢0.0¢-$30
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 France?World CupYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?World CupYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will T1 win MSI 2026?eSportsYesResolved$5028¢0.0¢-$50
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$1470¢0.0¢-$14
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?World CupYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?World CupYesResolved$312¢0.0¢-$3
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$81.5¢0.0¢-$8
Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends TournamenteSportsYesResolved$2017¢0.0¢-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?World CupYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?World CupYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$1083¢0.0¢-$10
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$248¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will England win on 2026-06-17?World CupNoResolved$544¢0.0¢-$5
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?World CupYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$1041¢0.0¢-$10
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?World CupNoResolved$2066¢0.0¢-$20
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?World CupYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsWorld CupYesResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Japan?World CupYesResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$23.9¢0.0¢-$2
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$2059¢0.0¢-$20
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffseSportsT1Resolved$2542¢0.0¢-$25
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$22.4¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?World CupYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Qatar?World CupYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?TechYesResolved$13.4¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?World CupYesResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?World CupYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?World CupYesResolved$21.3¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 2 France?World CupYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?World CupYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?World CupYesResolved$25.9¢0.0¢-$2
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?World CupNoResolved$168¢0.0¢-$1
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?World CupYesResolved$54.8¢0.0¢-$5
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$1060¢0.0¢-$10
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?World CupYesResolved$104.9¢0.0¢-$10
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 France?World CupYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?World CupYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Qatar?World CupYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?World CupYesResolved$62.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Netherlands vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?World CupYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Any Other Score?World CupYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?World CupYesResolved$312¢0.0¢-$3
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5World CupUnderResolved$1084¢0.0¢-$10
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway?World CupYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?World CupYesResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?World CupYesResolved$416¢0.0¢-$4
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?World CupYesResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?World CupYesResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?World CupYesResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?World CupYesResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$54.7¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$581
World Cup-$501
Culture+$185
eSports-$97
Mentions-$83
Crypto+$79
Tech-$63
Tennis-$27
NBA-$24
MLB-$21
Finance+$21
Weather-$15
Biggest hit
+$190
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Toughest beat
-$167
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$13d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$84d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$244d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$344d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$64d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$64d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$336d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$366d ago
  • Cashed out No · Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$46d ago
  • Cashed out Under · Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5$56d ago
  • Bought No · Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$17d ago
  • Bought No · Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$17d ago