 Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?Weather | No | $43 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$17 |
| Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | Yes | $53 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $45 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $19 | 32¢ | 61¢ | +$17 |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $32 | 54¢ | 53¢ | -$1 |
| Will Juan Ayuso win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Other | No | $23 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBA | No | $16 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$14 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $29 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in July?Weather | No | $24 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
| Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $28 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBA | No | $14 | 45¢ | 98¢ | +$16 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | Yes | $36 | 43¢ | 34¢ | -$7 |
 Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by July 31?Politics | No | $26 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
| Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $11 | 33¢ | 89¢ | +$18 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $21 | 70¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | No | $28 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?NBA | No | $25 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $27 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $25 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $27 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 50¢ | 46¢ | -$3 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | Yes | $24 | 79¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $26 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $26 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | No | $24 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | No | $27 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?Weather | Yes | $14 | 48¢ | 90¢ | +$12 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $27 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics | No | $25 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $26 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $24 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 X banned in any European country by December 31?Politics | No | $26 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Economy | Yes | $40 | 47¢ | 30¢ | -$15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 91¢ | 85¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 43¢ | 98¢ | +$14 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Politics | No | $39 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$13 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?Culture | No | $24 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?Politics | No | $26 | 88¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
 Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $26 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics | No | $22 | 73¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $19 | 69¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $25 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $25 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $25 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?Culture | No | $26 | 87¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
| Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $30B?Finance | Yes | $18 | 59¢ | 83¢ | +$7 |
 Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?MLB | No | $26 | 87¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 79¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?eSports | No | $24 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?Premier League | No | $23 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics | Yes | $23 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $24 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | No | $25 | 84¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | No | $24 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $23 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Will Clavicular visit South Korea in 2026?Culture | No | $24 | 84¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 59¢ | 77¢ | +$5 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $24 | 81¢ | 76¢ | -$2 |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 72¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $24 | 83¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
 Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $21 | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
 Will Decibel launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $24 | 80¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?Politics | Yes | $22 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Government shutdown by October 1?Politics | No | $14 | 33¢ | 53¢ | +$8 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | No | $24 | 80¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
 Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $22 | 74¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | No | $24 | 79¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?Premier League | Yes | $24 | 80¢ | 72¢ | -$2 |
| Welltower (WELL) Q2 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 15%-18%?Finance | Yes | $20 | 65¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
 Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $21 | 73¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
| Will Studio Ghibli announce a new project at SDCC 2026?Culture | Yes | $11 | 15¢ | 28¢ | +$10 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 83¢ | 71¢ | -$4 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 66¢ | 35¢ | -$19 |
 Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $21 | 70¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?Finance | Yes | $25 | 84¢ | 70¢ | -$4 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Politics | No | $21 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will JL Find a Team Before September?eSports | Yes | $15 | 49¢ | 70¢ | +$6 |
| Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $22 | 73¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
 Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $21 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $19 | 63¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $20 | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $20 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?Economy | No | $24 | 80¢ | 69¢ | -$3 |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?UFC / MMA | No | $20 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $23 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | No | $24 | 79¢ | 69¢ | -$3 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | Yes | $22 | 73¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $20 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $20 | 65¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $18 | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
MERGE US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?$307m ago
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