← Whale Watch

stavr

Predicting since May 202597 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.0K on Politics markets since May 2025.

Right now: $15K riding on Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$2.2K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15K14¢8.5¢-$5.6K
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.1K35¢39¢+$352
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K60¢88¢+$986
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$52134¢41¢+$100
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsYes$2965.0¢5.5¢+$29
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$711¢12¢+$1
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$217¢31¢+$1
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$13.2¢3.5¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$159¢65¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5454.4¢0.0¢-$545
Spread: England (-2.5)World CupEnglandResolved$343¢0.0¢-$3
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$991.1¢0.0¢-$99

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$4.0K
Crypto-$11
World Cup+$6
Tech-$0
Biggest hit
+$2.2K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?$711h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$6002d ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$352d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?$502d ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$332d ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1002d ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$402d ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1022d ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$692d ago
  • Bought Yes · Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$32d ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1402d ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$84d ago