 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $299 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$15 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $322 | 64¢ | 57¢ | -$34 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $243 | 47¢ | 38¢ | -$48 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $130 | 68¢ | 94¢ | +$48 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $104 | 52¢ | 69¢ | +$35 |
 Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $103 | 69¢ | 86¢ | +$26 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | Yes | $231 | 16¢ | 7.3¢ | -$123 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $99 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $90 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $91 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$3 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $36 | 8.3¢ | 19¢ | +$45 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $75 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$5 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $96 | 91¢ | 73¢ | -$19 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $60 | 60¢ | 74¢ | +$14 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto | No | $68 | 34¢ | 36¢ | +$5 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $343 | 46¢ | 9.5¢ | -$272 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $48 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$2 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $38 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$2 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $54 | 54¢ | 39¢ | -$15 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $39 | 77¢ | 67¢ | -$5 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $30 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | Yes | $89 | 59¢ | 19¢ | -$60 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 30¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $46 | 46¢ | 27¢ | -$20 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | Yes | $51 | 17¢ | 7.5¢ | -$29 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $15 | 53¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $25 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$11 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $10 | 1.0¢ | 1.4¢ | +$4 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | Yes | $34 | 23¢ | 6.5¢ | -$24 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $55 | 37¢ | 6.5¢ | -$45 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | Yes | $26 | 13¢ | 4.3¢ | -$17 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $16 | 16¢ | 8.5¢ | -$8 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | No | $22 | 43¢ | 13¢ | -$15 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $5 | 45¢ | 61¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 8.0¢ | 5.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Politics | No | $2 | 16¢ | 40¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | +$0 |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | Yes | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
 Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.7¢ | +$1 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 1.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $35 | 35¢ | 1.3¢ | -$34 |
