ckotw

Predicting since Oct 2025132 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$9	94¢	100¢	+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	No	$5	93¢	97¢	+$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics	No	$5	93¢	93¢	-$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics	NoResolved	$2	93¢	100¢	+$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	No	$2	94¢	96¢	+$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Politics	No	$2	93¢	94¢	+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$2	93¢	93¢	-$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	66¢	100¢	+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics	No	$1	85¢	100¢	+$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	88¢	100¢	+$0
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1	90¢	100¢	+$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	85¢	88¢	+$0
US recession by end of 2026?Economy	No	$1	90¢	93¢	+$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1	68¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	52¢	0.0¢	-$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$6	97¢	0.0¢	-$6

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$23

Crypto+$5

La Liga-$1

Premier League-$1

Champions League-$1

Tech+$1

World Cup+$0

NFL-$0

Economy+$0

NBA-$0

Biggest hit

+$2

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Toughest beat

-$13

Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Bought No · Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?$29d ago
Bought No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$19d ago
Bought No · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$29d ago
Bought Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$19d ago
Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?$19d ago
Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?$19d ago
Cashed out No · Iran leadership change by August 31?$39d ago
Cashed out No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$49d ago
Bought No · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$29d ago
Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$19d ago
Bought No · US recession by end of 2026?$19d ago
Bought No · Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$51mo ago