 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $125 | 3.6¢ | 12¢ | +$294 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $210 | 5.6¢ | 5.3¢ | -$9 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$105 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | Yes | $83 | 65¢ | 62¢ | -$4 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics | Yes | $68 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
 Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?Tech | Yes | $118 | 11¢ | 5.0¢ | -$63 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $56 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $77 | 8.5¢ | 5.5¢ | -$27 |
 Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $24 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$21 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $51 | 10¢ | 8.5¢ | -$8 |
 Chud the Builder convicted?Politics | Yes | $20 | 16¢ | 34¢ | +$22 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $37 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 12¢ | 20¢ | +$15 |
 Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 15¢ | 8.5¢ | -$26 |
 Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | Yes | $41 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | Yes | $35 | 32¢ | 30¢ | -$3 |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$27 |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | Yes | $28 | 33¢ | 37¢ | +$4 |
 Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture | Yes | $20 | 11¢ | 17¢ | +$12 |
 Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $42 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$11 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?Politics | Yes | $29 | 7.8¢ | 7.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?Culture | Yes | $26 | 39¢ | 39¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 5.6¢ | 6.5¢ | +$3 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $41 | 4.7¢ | 2.5¢ | -$19 |
 Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?Politics | Yes | $31 | 9.1¢ | 6.5¢ | -$9 |
 Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 4.5¢ | 4.8¢ | +$1 |
 Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 6.7¢ | 2.5¢ | -$35 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | Yes | $14 | 26¢ | 38¢ | +$7 |
 Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 26¢ | +$10 |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$20 |
 Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $24 | 4.7¢ | 3.9¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 8.2¢ | 5.1¢ | -$11 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $17 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $12 | 5.5¢ | 8.0¢ | +$6 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 6.1¢ | 7.1¢ | +$3 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 2.3¢ | 2.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?Politics | Yes | $16 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$0 |
 Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $24 | 6.7¢ | 4.5¢ | -$8 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 13¢ | 9.5¢ | -$5 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $17 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | Yes | $12 | 26¢ | 33¢ | +$3 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 15¢ | +$4 |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $11 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $14 | 6.1¢ | 6.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture | Yes | $21 | 18¢ | 13¢ | -$6 |
 Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?Culture | No | $11 | 5.3¢ | 6.9¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?Politics | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?Politics | Yes | $17 | 6.5¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sports | Yes | $16 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $37 | 16¢ | 6.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $16 | 8.9¢ | 7.5¢ | -$2 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.6¢ | 2.2¢ | +$3 |
 Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | Yes | $18 | 13¢ | 10¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 3.4¢ | 4.5¢ | +$3 |
 Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $35 | 11¢ | 4.0¢ | -$22 |
 Deel IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $17 | 6.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$8 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 7.2¢ | 6.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 20¢ | +$2 |
 Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | Yes | $16 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 3.1¢ | 3.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture | Yes | $8 | 7.8¢ | 12¢ | +$4 |
| Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture | Yes | $8 | 12¢ | 18¢ | +$4 |
 Human moon landing in 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 1.2¢ | 1.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 5.1¢ | 3.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.1¢ | 4.9¢ | +$7 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $10 | 2.8¢ | 3.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 22¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $10 | 2.7¢ | 3.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 54¢ | 58¢ | +$1 |
| Benedict Wong as Wong?Culture | No | $14 | 30¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
 Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 36¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | Yes | $42 | 15¢ | 3.9¢ | -$31 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?Politics | Yes | $39 | 25¢ | 7.0¢ | -$28 |
 Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028?Politics | Yes | $14 | 25¢ | 20¢ | -$3 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Weather | Yes | $13 | 9.3¢ | 8.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $10 | 2.1¢ | 2.3¢ | +$1 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.0¢ | 2.2¢ | +$1 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | Yes | $11 | 5.3¢ | 5.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 4.4¢ | 4.3¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$3 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
 Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 3.0¢ | 3.8¢ | +$2 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Politics | Yes | $13 | 9.9¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump say "Cook" or "Cooked" this week?Mentions | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 49¢ | +$5 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?Weather | Yes | $13 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $12 | 11¢ | 8.8¢ | -$3 |
 Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?Politics | Yes | $15 | 13¢ | 8.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | Yes | $9 | 22¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $15 | 2.8¢ | 1.8¢ | -$6 |
 Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $6 | 21¢ | 31¢ | +$3 |
 Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | Yes | $10 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 9.3¢ | 12¢ | +$2 |
 Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Tech | Yes | $12 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | Yes | $9 | 10¢ | 10¢ | +$0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $10 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $11 | 8.8¢ | 7.4¢ | -$2 |
Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$218m ago
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