← Whale Watch

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4,157 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $16K on Politics markets.

Right now: $555 across 60 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsYes$761.7¢2.1¢+$19
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsYes$10516¢14¢-$11
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?CultureYes$2011¢47¢+$70
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?PoliticsYes$10720¢16¢-$25
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6618¢16¢-$8
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?TechNo$11.0¢71¢+$48
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$474.7¢4.5¢-$1
Maduro guilty of all counts?PoliticsYes$1212¢47¢+$34
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3888¢98¢+$4
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?TechYes$174.7¢12¢+$25
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$3992¢98¢+$3
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$598.8¢5.5¢-$22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$3211¢13¢+$4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$3791¢88¢-$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsYes$4223¢20¢-$7
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?TechYes$545.3¢3.4¢-$20
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$201.3¢2.1¢+$14
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$71.5¢7.0¢+$26
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?TechYes$3314¢14¢-$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?PoliticsYes$614.0¢2.1¢-$29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsYes$4318¢14¢-$11
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$120.3¢0.8¢+$19
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?PoliticsYes$4712¢7.5¢-$17
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$3512¢11¢-$5
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?PoliticsYes$3425¢23¢-$4
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$3024¢24¢-$1
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?PoliticsYes$3413¢11¢-$5
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?WeatherYes$142.3¢4.7¢+$15
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?PoliticsYes$125.5¢13¢+$16
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$3011¢11¢-$3
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$3115¢13¢-$5
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?PoliticsYes$3010¢8.5¢-$5
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2919¢17¢-$4
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$2318¢17¢-$1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$223.7¢3.6¢-$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsYes$2320¢18¢-$1
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsYes$2248¢47¢-$0
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$3314¢9.3¢-$11
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$271.2¢0.9¢-$6
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?PoliticsYes$1714¢16¢+$3
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsYes$1337¢57¢+$7
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?PoliticsYes$2016¢15¢-$1
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?CultureYes$2520¢15¢-$6
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?PoliticsYes$1130¢49¢+$7
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$1928¢27¢-$1
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1425¢31¢+$4
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1792¢97¢+$1
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsYes$1026¢48¢+$8
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?PoliticsYes$1520¢23¢+$2
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$1728¢28¢+$0
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$159.3¢11¢+$2
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsYes$1713¢13¢-$0
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?PoliticsYes$167.2¢7.4¢+$1
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?PoliticsYes$1918¢16¢-$3
Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?CultureYes$722¢50¢+$9
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?PoliticsYes$145.8¢6.3¢+$1
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?PoliticsYes$1618¢17¢-$1
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$1610.0¢9.5¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?PoliticsNo$1535¢34¢-$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?PoliticsYes$1514¢15¢+$0
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1432¢34¢+$1
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1727¢24¢-$2
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?PoliticsYes$1649¢47¢-$1
Human moon landing in 2026?TechYes$91.2¢1.9¢+$5
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$187.4¢6.0¢-$3
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?PoliticsYes$1421¢22¢+$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?PoliticsYes$158.8¢8.3¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsYes$1743¢37¢-$2
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsYes$1044¢59¢+$4
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?CultureYes$44.0¢13¢+$10
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$1528¢26¢-$1
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?PoliticsYes$159.3¢8.5¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?PoliticsYes$33.0¢13¢+$10
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$1911¢7.5¢-$6
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsYes$133.3¢3.5¢+$1
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$1327¢27¢+$0
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$126.8¢7.5¢+$1
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1534¢29¢-$2
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechYes$1411¢10¢-$1
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?CultureYes$1314¢13¢-$1
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsYes$4215¢4.5¢-$30
Deel IPO before 2027?TechYes$176.0¢4.5¢-$4
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?PoliticsYes$1911¢7.0¢-$7
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?PoliticsYes$2352¢28¢-$11
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?PoliticsYes$3925¢8.0¢-$26
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?PoliticsYes$715¢28¢+$5
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?PoliticsYes$154.5¢3.7¢-$3
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026?PoliticsYes$285.4¢2.4¢-$15
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsYes$1312¢12¢-$1
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$3811¢3.5¢-$26
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$1248¢48¢+$0
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?TechYes$156.5¢5.4¢-$2
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?PoliticsYes$1138¢42¢+$1
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?PoliticsYes$1537¢28¢-$4
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?CultureNo$1214¢14¢-$1
Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?CultureYes$727¢43¢+$4
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?PoliticsYes$2220¢11¢-$11
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$1320¢18¢-$1
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsYes$14914¢1.1¢-$138
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?CultureNo$1033¢37¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$16K
Tech+$5.0K
Culture+$3.1K
Other sports+$352
Economy+$332
Mentions+$278
Finance-$131
UFC / MMA+$93
World Cup-$43
Other+$32
NFL+$14
Crypto-$11
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Toughest beat
-$975
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$06m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$106m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$06m ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$138m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?$19m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?$209m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?$19m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?$012m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?$715m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$119m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$019m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1519m ago