vengo

Predicting since Feb 20264 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.9K on Tech markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $1.1K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Politics	No	$764	40¢	35¢	-$98
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics	No	$388	84¢	88¢	+$16
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Culture	Yes	$392	91¢	89¢	-$9
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$326	53¢	44¢	-$55
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Economy	No	$286	58¢	51¢	-$34
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Politics	No	$98	33¢	80¢	+$138
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech	OpenAI	$359	11¢	6.0¢	-$169
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$108	54¢	78¢	+$47
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?Tech	No	$185	19¢	14¢	-$41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics	No	$132	7.8¢	5.5¢	-$40
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$404	6.3¢	1.3¢	-$323
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$705	16¢	1.7¢	-$632
Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by September 30?Politics	No	$41	41¢	71¢	+$30
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026?Politics	No	$57	78¢	78¢	+$0
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$82	82¢	55¢	-$28
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Economy	No	$51	60¢	62¢	+$1
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech	No	$81	23¢	14¢	-$32
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy	No	$258	12¢	1.8¢	-$219
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$80	53¢	26¢	-$41
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy	No	$35	9.4¢	7.3¢	-$8
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Economy	Yes	$168	12¢	1.7¢	-$143
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics	No	$18	76¢	88¢	+$3
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Politics	No	$9	52¢	93¢	+$7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$10	70¢	91¢	+$3
GTA VI released by November 30?Culture	No	$15	8.5¢	6.5¢	-$3
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Politics	No	$4	21¢	66¢	+$8
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?Politics	No	$3	57¢	97¢	+$2
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Politics	Yes	$287	38¢	0.4¢	-$284
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?Culture	Yes	$0	0.7¢	6.5¢	+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$2.9K

Politics-$2.9K

Economy-$1.6K

Crypto-$1.2K

Finance-$527

Mentions-$332

Other-$146

UFC / MMA+$38

Weather+$31

Culture-$5

World Cup+$0

Other sports+$0

Biggest hit

+$1.4K

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

Toughest beat

-$1.6K

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?$05h ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by September 7, 2026?$119h ago
Cashed out No · Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$01d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$01d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30?$652d ago
Cashed out No · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?$204d ago
Cashed out No · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$07d ago
Cashed out No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?$07d ago
Cashed out No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?$07d ago
Cashed out No · Over $10M committed to the Ethos public sale?$2017d ago
Cashed out No · Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$07d ago
Cashed out No · Over $15M committed to the Ethos public sale?$177d ago