← Whale Watch

hetlock

Predicting since Nov 2024119 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $4.9K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $1.7K riding on Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Nothing Ever Happens: November.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K81¢96¢+$317
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$90295¢100¢+$47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$69164¢80¢+$181
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$41681¢97¢+$87
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$17968¢87¢+$49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$14059¢80¢+$49
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?TechNo$13846¢39¢-$22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$10085¢96¢+$13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10081¢92¢+$13
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10089¢100¢+$12
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10054¢57¢+$6
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$446.8¢8.0¢+$8
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$676.4¢4.9¢-$16
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10050¢20¢-$60
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1491¢100¢+$1
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$323.8¢1.7¢-$18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢13¢+$12
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢12¢+$12
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$3636¢12¢-$24
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$766¢91¢+$2
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢8.8¢+$8
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢8.5¢+$8
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?TechYes$72.5¢2.9¢+$1
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$252.0¢0.5¢-$19
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢4.9¢+$4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢2.5¢+$2
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢2.4¢+$2
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢1.6¢+$1
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢1.6¢+$1
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢1.5¢+$1
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢1.1¢+$1
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢1.1¢+$1
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢1.1¢+$1
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢1.1¢+$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$335.2¢0.0¢-$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1578¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$94.0¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$218.2¢0.0¢-$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2011¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$91.0¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1182¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$195.0¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1816¢0.0¢-$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$136.5¢0.0¢-$13
Nothing Ever Happens: AprilPoliticsNothingResolved$248.0¢0.0¢-$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$53.1¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$52.2¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$192.1¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$32.7¢0.0¢-$3
Negative GDP growth in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$204.8¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$131.7¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$372.8¢0.0¢-$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$717¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1048¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$43.0¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1213¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$94.0¢0.0¢-$9

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$4.9K
Finance+$99
Crypto-$70
Economy+$66
Tech-$58
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Toughest beat
-$132
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?