Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $715 | 27¢ | 17¢ | -$281 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $261 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$58 |
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | No | $43 | 18¢ | 80¢ | +$147 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $37 | 19¢ | 81¢ | +$124 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $253 | 12¢ | 7.1¢ | -$105 |
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by October 31?Tech | Yes | $96 | 41¢ | 64¢ | +$51 |
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $247 | 14¢ | 7.8¢ | -$107 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $336 | 14¢ | 5.5¢ | -$201 |
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by December 31?Tech | Yes | $63 | 38¢ | 66¢ | +$45 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $493 | 18¢ | 3.3¢ | -$405 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $35 | 30¢ | 71¢ | +$48 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | Yes | $91 | 4.3¢ | 2.9¢ | -$31 |
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | Yes | $29 | 22¢ | 45¢ | +$29 |
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $171 | 24¢ | 7.5¢ | -$118 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$3 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $137 | 7.0¢ | 1.7¢ | -$105 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | Yes | $84 | 7.9¢ | 3.0¢ | -$51 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 8.6¢ | 4.0¢ | -$33 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | Yes | $97 | 43¢ | 11¢ | -$72 |
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Weather | Yes | $61 | 7.6¢ | 2.9¢ | -$37 |
New pandemic in 2026?Politics | Yes | $49 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$25 |
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | No | $7 | 13¢ | 45¢ | +$16 |
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Politics | Yes | $40 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$18 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | No | $17 | 11¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $48 | 16¢ | 4.5¢ | -$35 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 23¢ | 6.5¢ | -$33 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | Yes | $11 | 15¢ | 18¢ | +$2 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $69 | 2.2¢ | 0.4¢ | -$58 |
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Politics | Yes | $57 | 34¢ | 6.0¢ | -$47 |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 6.0¢ | 3.5¢ | -$7 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | Yes | $157 | 25¢ | 1.3¢ | -$149 |
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Weather | Yes | $11 | 8.1¢ | 5.5¢ | -$3 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$4 |
US x China Military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 7.0¢ | 4.2¢ | -$4 |
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $9 | 3.3¢ | 2.4¢ | -$2 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $28 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$22 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 27¢ | 4.5¢ | -$23 |
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | Yes | $6 | 8.8¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $37 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$33 |
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Other sports | Yes | $21 | 10¢ | 1.7¢ | -$17 |
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ | 2.9¢ | -$6 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 8.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$37 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 41¢ | 6.5¢ | -$10 |
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 7.3¢ | 1.6¢ | -$6 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $94 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $41 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $88 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $10 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 13 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $29 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Epstein client list released by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026Tech | YesResolved | $541 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$541 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $24 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $131 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $131 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?Tech | YesResolved | $13 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will SpaceX say "Cursor" during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $35 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?Tech | YesResolved | $150 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $308 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$308 |
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $34 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $19 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $8 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $45 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Trump out as President by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $139 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$139 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $71 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $723 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$723 |
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Tech | YesResolved | $398 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$398 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $21 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $95 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | YesResolved | $300 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Politics | NoResolved | $53 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $52 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?Tech | YesResolved | $47 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $37 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Netanyahu out by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $25 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $221 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$221 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $123 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$123 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $122 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$122 |
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $42 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026Tech | YesResolved | $540 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$540 |
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026Tech | YesResolved | $627 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$627 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $151 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$151 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $148 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$148 |