← Whale Watch

MtnMark

Predicting since Mar 2026239 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $15K on Weather markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $2.7K across 8 Tech markets.

Biggest hit: +$15K on Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$49836¢38¢+$19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$49318¢16¢-$74
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$26119¢20¢+$12
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherNo$4318¢73¢+$129
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$30616¢7.5¢-$160
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$1786.9¢5.1¢-$45
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsYes$23511¢6.5¢-$102
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$3719¢43¢+$48
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$3530¢71¢+$48
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechYes$24714¢4.5¢-$166
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by October 31?TechYes$4134¢64¢+$36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$14330¢15¢-$70
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?TechYes$11237¢24¢-$40
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechYes$17124¢10¢-$101
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by December 31?TechYes$3833¢61¢+$31
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1377.0¢2.9¢-$80
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?PoliticsYes$5734¢34¢-$1
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsYes$15725¢6.8¢-$115
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceNo$1812¢28¢+$24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$847.9¢3.4¢-$48
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$356.0¢5.5¢-$3
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsYes$9743¢14¢-$64
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherYes$2822¢26¢+$4
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$692.2¢1.0¢-$37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$6719¢8.5¢-$37
Ebola pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$617.6¢3.6¢-$32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$608.6¢3.6¢-$35
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$4816¢8.5¢-$23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$4623¢13¢-$21
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?PoliticsYes$4010¢6.0¢-$16
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Other sportsYes$2110¢10¢-$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$582.5¢0.8¢-$41
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?PoliticsYes$3115¢8.0¢-$14
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$280.7¢0.4¢-$14
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechYes$1115¢19¢+$3
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$2211¢6.5¢-$9
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$2727¢13¢-$15
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$371.4¢0.4¢-$26
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$156.0¢3.6¢-$6
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechYes$93.3¢3.4¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceYes$108.4¢6.5¢-$2
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$408.0¢1.5¢-$33
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? WeatherYes$118.1¢5.5¢-$3
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$107.0¢4.5¢-$4
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceYes$1616¢6.5¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?FinanceYes$270.9¢0.2¢-$21
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?EconomyYes$68.8¢8.0¢-$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechYes$714¢9.5¢-$2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsYes$709.3¢0.5¢-$66
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$77.3¢3.8¢-$4
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1241¢13¢-$9
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$4419¢1.5¢-$40
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?PoliticsYes$99.0¢3.5¢-$6
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherYes$120¢19¢-$0
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?FinanceYes$2223¢1.1¢-$21
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$918¢2.1¢-$8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$197.1¢0.0¢-$19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$941.3¢0.0¢-$94
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4021¢0.0¢-$40
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$6012¢0.0¢-$60
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$199.3¢0.0¢-$19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?PoliticsNoResolved$308.9¢0.0¢-$30
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?TechNoResolved$882.5¢0.0¢-$88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$295.3¢0.0¢-$29
Epstein client list released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3012¢0.0¢-$30
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026TechYesResolved$5418.6¢0.0¢-$541
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$4312¢0.0¢-$43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2424¢0.0¢-$24
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1316.5¢0.0¢-$131
Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$193.4¢0.0¢-$19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$752.9¢0.0¢-$75
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechYesResolved$1310.7¢0.0¢-$131
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?TechYesResolved$1311¢0.0¢-$13
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?PoliticsYesResolved$612¢0.0¢-$6
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechYesResolved$3081.6¢0.0¢-$308
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$342.3¢0.0¢-$34
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2816¢0.0¢-$28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?FinanceYesResolved$1938¢0.0¢-$19
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2415¢0.0¢-$24
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsNoResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$80.8¢0.0¢-$8
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$453.3¢0.0¢-$45
Trump out as President by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1391.9¢0.0¢-$139
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$7115¢0.0¢-$71
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$7239.4¢0.0¢-$723
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026TechYesResolved$37010¢0.0¢-$370
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$211.1¢0.0¢-$21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$957.0¢0.0¢-$95
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$3001.9¢0.0¢-$300
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?PoliticsNoResolved$5316¢0.0¢-$53
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$255.5¢0.0¢-$25
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$523.5¢0.0¢-$52
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?TechYesResolved$471.3¢0.0¢-$47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$3724¢0.0¢-$37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$177.0¢0.0¢-$17
Netanyahu out by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$431.3¢0.0¢-$43
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$250.5¢0.0¢-$25
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?PoliticsYesResolved$1423¢0.0¢-$14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2219.2¢0.0¢-$221
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?PoliticsYesResolved$12317¢0.0¢-$123

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather+$15K
Politics-$3.6K
Finance-$2.0K
Mentions-$206
Other sports-$203
Economy-$203
World Cup-$119
Tech+$48
Soccer (other)-$42
Crypto-$21
Biggest hit
+$15K
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Toughest beat
-$717
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$501d ago
  • Sold No · Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?$1171d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?$3001d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$101d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$121d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$01d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$61d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$61d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$121d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$121d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?$41d ago