Rafael88

Predicting since Oct 2024191 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.7K on World Cup markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $4.3K riding on Brazil Presidential Election.

Biggest hit: +$2.7K on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$4.3K	41¢	55¢	+$1.5K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$2.0K	59¢	70¢	+$356
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$557	26¢	25¢	-$31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$273	23¢	23¢	-$7
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics	Yes	$325	15¢	12¢	-$71
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$168	84¢	85¢	+$2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	No	$135	94¢	94¢	-$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$90	86¢	87¢	+$1
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Politics	Yes	$77	35¢	29¢	-$12
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	No	$65	85¢	86¢	+$0
US recession by end of 2027?Economy	Yes	$52	28¢	35¢	+$12
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$44	88¢	89¢	+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$26	81¢	89¢	+$2
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics	No	$28	88¢	89¢	+$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics	No	$25	97¢	98¢	+$0
US recession by end of 2026?Economy	No	$20	93¢	90¢	-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics	Yes	$13	11¢	14¢	+$3
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather	No	$10	97¢	97¢	+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics	Yes	$12	11¢	8.5¢	-$3
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics	No	$10	96¢	96¢	+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	No	$7	95¢	96¢	+$0
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Politics	No	$6	97¢	97¢	-$0
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?World Cup	YesResolved	$216	96¢	0.0¢	-$216
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics	NoResolved	$1.1K	81¢	0.0¢	-$1.1K
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$1.7K	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$1.7K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$48	80¢	0.0¢	-$48
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?World Cup	YesResolved	$38	28¢	0.0¢	-$38
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?World Cup	YesResolved	$436	84¢	0.0¢	-$436
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$422	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$422

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$1.7K

Politics-$1.6K

Economy-$557

Finance-$1

Weather+$0

Biggest hit

+$2.7K

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Toughest beat

-$5.8K

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$352h ago
Bought Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$672h ago
Bought Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$722h ago
Sold No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$1732h ago
Bought Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$56h ago
Bought Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1358h ago
Bought Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18h ago
Sold Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$728h ago
Sold Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$109h ago
Sold Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$589h ago
Bought Yes · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$113h ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$71d ago