Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL | YesResolved | $0 | 1.6¢ | 100¢ | +$24 |
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 100¢ | +$20 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 86¢ | +$7 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$6 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
Will France win on 2026-06-16?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 27-May 3 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.1¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics | Yes | $6 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?La Liga | YesResolved | $3 | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $4 | 50¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?Champions League | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will BetBoom Team win PGL Wallachia Season 8?eSports | YesResolved | $0 | 3.1¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 8.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBA | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor SecretaryPolitics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 8.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 7.1¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will Janelle Stelson be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 3.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 6.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will Lutfur Rahman win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Peter Taylor win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie A | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Anthropic have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $0 | 1.6¢ | 69¢ | +$4 |
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 7.1¢ | 66¢ | +$4 |
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.6¢ | 66¢ | +$4 |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.6¢ | 65¢ | +$4 |
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 25¢ | 64¢ | +$2 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.6¢ | 63¢ | +$4 |
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 2.4¢ | 58¢ | +$3 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Vancouver Whitecaps FC next?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 48¢ | +$3 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for San Jose Earthquakes next?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 47¢ | +$3 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Minnesota United FC next?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 47¢ | +$3 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Columbus Crew next?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 47¢ | +$3 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Toronto FC next?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 47¢ | +$3 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 17¢ | +$3 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Real Salt Lake next?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 47¢ | +$3 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for CF Montréal next?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 47¢ | +$3 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $1 | 10.0¢ | 55¢ | +$3 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for St. Louis CITY SC next?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 47¢ | +$3 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Sporting Kansas City next?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 45¢ | +$3 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Austin FC next?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 45¢ | +$3 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.8¢ | 52¢ | +$3 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for FC Cincinnati next?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 45¢ | +$3 |