 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $51 | 24¢ | 41¢ | +$38 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Politics | Yes | $150 | 10¢ | 4.8¢ | -$82 |
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $39 | 3.7¢ | 6.2¢ | +$25 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $60 | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 3.0¢ | 6.0¢ | +$29 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $43 | 4.4¢ | 5.9¢ | +$15 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $60 | 4.9¢ | 4.2¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $49 | 3.8¢ | 3.7¢ | -$1 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $36 | 2.2¢ | 2.8¢ | +$9 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 5.3¢ | 7.2¢ | +$11 |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Politics | Yes | $39 | 4.7¢ | 5.1¢ | +$3 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $42 | 2.4¢ | 2.3¢ | -$2 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $4 | 2.9¢ | 26¢ | +$34 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $34 | 2.3¢ | 2.5¢ | +$4 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $55 | 5.4¢ | 3.6¢ | -$18 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $23 | 1.6¢ | 2.4¢ | +$10 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 5.6¢ | 6.3¢ | +$3 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $25 | 1.6¢ | 2.1¢ | +$7 |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $30 | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | +$2 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 0.9¢ | 1.1¢ | +$7 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture | Yes | $57 | 3.6¢ | 1.9¢ | -$26 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $40 | 1.5¢ | 1.1¢ | -$9 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $29 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | +$1 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 2.0¢ | 2.4¢ | +$5 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 7.7¢ | 28¢ | +$21 |
 Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $37 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 1.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $29 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $45 | 2.5¢ | 1.6¢ | -$17 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.2¢ | 1.1¢ | +$22 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $41 | 1.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$14 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 2.2¢ | 2.1¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $46 | 1.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$21 |
 Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $24 | 0.7¢ | 0.8¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $27 | 1.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 2.1¢ | 3.0¢ | +$7 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $23 | 22¢ | 24¢ | +$2 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $23 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $22 | 3.0¢ | 3.1¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $26 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 1.8¢ | 2.1¢ | +$3 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $56 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$33 |
 Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $35 | 1.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$13 |
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 1.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$4 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $8 | 0.6¢ | 1.7¢ | +$14 |
 Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.6¢ | 1.3¢ | +$12 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $21 | 1.5¢ | 1.6¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $41 | 1.1¢ | 0.5¢ | -$20 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 0.8¢ | 1.6¢ | +$9 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 1.9¢ | 1.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 2.9¢ | 1.8¢ | -$13 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?Politics | Yes | $9 | 31¢ | 68¢ | +$11 |
 Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 1.8¢ | 2.4¢ | +$5 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $12 | 5.2¢ | 8.0¢ | +$6 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $21 | 1.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 6.1¢ | 8.8¢ | +$5 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 2.2¢ | 1.5¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 6.7¢ | 7.6¢ | +$2 |
 Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $25 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$8 |
 Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 1.2¢ | 2.3¢ | +$8 |
 Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 2.3¢ | +$15 |
 Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Politics | Yes | $6 | 13¢ | 34¢ | +$10 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 0.9¢ | 1.1¢ | +$2 |
 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $33 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$16 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 1.4¢ | +$13 |
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $28 | 1.6¢ | 0.9¢ | -$12 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$6 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $39 | 0.9¢ | 0.4¢ | -$23 |
 Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $36 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$21 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $32 | 2.2¢ | 1.1¢ | -$17 |
 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $43 | 1.0¢ | 0.4¢ | -$28 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 1.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $25 | 2.0¢ | 1.1¢ | -$11 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 1.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $32 | 1.0¢ | 0.4¢ | -$18 |
 Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.2¢ | 0.9¢ | +$9 |
 Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $19 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$6 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $37 | 3.0¢ | 1.1¢ | -$24 |
 Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$14 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 1.3¢ | 0.8¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $7 | 1.2¢ | 2.4¢ | +$6 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $22 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$10 |
 Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$7 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 4.2¢ | 2.4¢ | -$10 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $14 | 1.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $22 | 1.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$10 |
 Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?Politics | No | $108 | 31¢ | 3.3¢ | -$96 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 1.1¢ | 0.8¢ | -$5 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.2¢ | 1.7¢ | +$3 |
 Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.8¢ | 1.5¢ | +$5 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 1.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$6 |
 Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.9¢ | 0.3¢ | -$27 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 3.1¢ | 4.2¢ | +$3 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 3.9¢ | 14¢ | +$8 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 5.8¢ | 7.5¢ | +$2 |
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