← Whale Watch

peter239784

Predicting since Dec 20251,055 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $8.4K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $3.5K across 5 Tennis markets.

Biggest hit: +$6.0K on Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$79843¢92¢+$913
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1.4K65¢74¢+$207
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$98937¢43¢+$160
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?PoliticsNo$97097¢96¢-$9
Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?Soccer (other)No$69383¢97¢+$118
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$67589¢99¢+$76
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$57550¢55¢+$47
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$57488¢89¢+$3
Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?Soccer (other)No$40381¢94¢+$66
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$30086¢96¢+$32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$25778¢100¢+$72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$30067¢73¢+$25
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10036¢99¢+$177
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$3312¢95¢+$231
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$27268¢63¢-$20
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$27129¢27¢-$23
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026?CryptoNo$24494¢94¢-$1
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?Soccer (other)Yes$37842¢26¢-$143
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Soccer (other)No$22167¢69¢+$5
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15069¢99¢+$66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$24549¢43¢-$33
Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer SpliteSportsYes$21042¢43¢+$3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsYes$2663.9¢2.8¢-$79
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$21815¢12¢-$48
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$9526¢46¢+$74
Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026?Soccer (other)No$16482¢77¢-$10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$10065¢99¢+$53
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueYes$11325¢30¢+$20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsNo$25432¢17¢-$122
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$30334¢12¢-$200
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$18332¢16¢-$91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$27152¢17¢-$182
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5056¢97¢+$37
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?PoliticsNo$8274¢71¢-$3
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSportsBilibili Gaming$3047¢100¢+$34
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?PoliticsNo$5096¢96¢+$0
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$4040¢49¢+$9
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5023¢23¢-$1
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?PoliticsYes$6919¢11¢-$28
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSportsThunderTalk Gaming$1542¢100¢+$20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$5015¢7.0¢-$27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8643¢8.5¢-$69
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?PoliticsYes$202.7¢1.9¢-$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceYes$5123¢6.1¢-$37
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?PoliticsYes$1525¢14¢-$7
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$6734¢4.1¢-$59
Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$6425¢2.9¢-$56
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$51.1¢1.4¢+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsYes$769.8¢0.5¢-$72
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$3618¢2.1¢-$32
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2543¢5.5¢-$22
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$5330¢0.9¢-$52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsNo$14214¢0.1¢-$140
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$2333¢0.0¢-$23
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$4145¢0.0¢-$41
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$7331¢0.0¢-$73
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5World CupUnderResolved$5555¢0.0¢-$55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?TechNoResolved$203.4¢0.0¢-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$2244¢0.0¢-$22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10049¢0.0¢-$100
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.7¢0.0¢-$0
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnereSportsGround Zero GamingResolved$4044¢0.0¢-$40
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos TsitsipasTennisArthur RinderknechResolved$1623¢0.0¢-$16
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Giron (+2.5)TennisGironResolved$2044¢0.0¢-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Champions LeagueYesResolved$5723¢0.0¢-$57
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$9526¢0.0¢-$95
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$224.3¢0.0¢-$22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?Champions LeagueYesResolved$9218¢0.0¢-$92
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$1524¢0.0¢-$15
Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)La LigaLevante UDResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$303.8¢0.0¢-$30
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20722¢0.0¢-$207
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.7¢0.0¢-$0
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$2345¢0.0¢-$23
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)eSportsT1Resolved$6738¢0.0¢-$67
United States vs. Australia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$833¢0.0¢-$8
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Premier LeagueOverResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Zachary SvajdaTennisZachary SvajdaResolved$711¢0.0¢-$7
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendeSportsTeam WEResolved$408.9¢0.0¢-$40
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?La LigaYesResolved$1415.7¢0.0¢-$141
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?CultureNoResolved$956.9¢0.0¢-$95
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2901.0¢0.0¢-$290
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 WinnereSportsLYONResolved$3956¢0.0¢-$39
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaTennisMarta KostyukResolved$1.8K56¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?BundesligaYesResolved$3216¢0.0¢-$32
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$430.5¢0.0¢-$43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5434¢0.0¢-$54
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?World CupNoResolved$2050¢0.0¢-$20
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?World CupNoResolved$61.4¢0.0¢-$6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$4623¢0.0¢-$46
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$422.6¢0.0¢-$42
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander BublikTennisAlexander BublikResolved$155.0¢0.0¢-$15
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$5353¢0.0¢-$53
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group BeSportsKarmine CorpResolved$816¢0.0¢-$8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group CeSportsT1Resolved$1223¢0.0¢-$12
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$222.2¢0.0¢-$22
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsNongshim Red ForceResolved$804.0¢0.0¢-$80
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$208.0¢0.0¢-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak DjokovicTennisRoman SafiullinResolved$309.9¢0.0¢-$30
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.7¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$8.4K
World Cup-$5.9K
Crypto+$5.6K
Tennis-$5.2K
eSports-$3.1K
Mentions-$2.3K
Finance-$1.8K
Weather-$1.6K
Culture-$868
La Liga-$499
Tech+$452
Champions League+$432
Biggest hit
+$6.0K
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$3.3K
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7426m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$361h ago
  • Bought Bilibili Gaming · LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$311h ago
  • Bought Deep Cross Gaming · LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner$132h ago
  • Bought Deep Cross Gaming · LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner$32h ago
  • Bought Deep Cross Gaming · LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner$32h ago
  • Sold ThunderTalk Gaming · LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner$312h ago
  • Bought No · Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?$2213h ago
  • Bought ThunderTalk Gaming · LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner$43h ago
  • Bought ThunderTalk Gaming · LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner$13h ago
  • Bought ThunderTalk Gaming · LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner$03h ago
  • Bought ThunderTalk Gaming · LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner$193h ago