Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $1.4K | 65¢ | 84¢ | +$409 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $989 | 37¢ | 62¢ | +$660 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?Crypto | No | $704 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$32 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $669 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $574 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$12 |
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | Yes | $520 | 52¢ | 54¢ | +$15 |
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | Yes | $171 | 2.8¢ | 8.0¢ | +$318 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $300 | 67¢ | 98¢ | +$141 |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | No | $371 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$12 |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $364 | 79¢ | 77¢ | -$11 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $300 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$37 |
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?Crypto | No | $274 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$17 |
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | Yes | $176 | 35¢ | 51¢ | +$79 |
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics | No | $250 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$3 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $238 | 62¢ | 63¢ | +$3 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $238 | 54¢ | 55¢ | +$2 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $68 | 29¢ | 93¢ | +$146 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $250 | 50¢ | 39¢ | -$57 |
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Tennis | Yes | $100 | 24¢ | 43¢ | +$80 |
Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026?Soccer (other) | No | $164 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$9 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $152 | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$9 |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $145 | 54¢ | 57¢ | +$10 |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Crypto | No | $63 | 33¢ | 74¢ | +$77 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | No | $103 | 54¢ | 68¢ | +$25 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $81 | 69¢ | 92¢ | +$26 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $100 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $96 | 48¢ | 50¢ | +$3 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $120 | 60¢ | 47¢ | -$27 |
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?Tech | No | $43 | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$50 |
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?Crypto | No | $56 | 56¢ | 84¢ | +$28 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $100 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$19 |
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Politics | No | $59 | 59¢ | 77¢ | +$18 |
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | No | $40 | 40¢ | 71¢ | +$31 |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $218 | 15¢ | 4.5¢ | -$151 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $61 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $150 | 25¢ | 9.5¢ | -$93 |
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $57 | 68¢ | 57¢ | -$9 |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | No | $54 | 51¢ | 45¢ | -$6 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $41 | 68¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | No | $254 | 32¢ | 5.1¢ | -$213 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $19 | 16¢ | 28¢ | +$14 |
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Politics | Yes | $69 | 19¢ | 7.5¢ | -$41 |
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $19 | 1.8¢ | 2.1¢ | +$3 |
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $19 | 1.6¢ | 0.9¢ | -$9 |
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 35¢ | 68¢ | +$3 |
Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 35¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 41¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
US Open ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Flavio CobolliTennis | Tristan SchoolkateResolved | $26 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $18 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 WinnereSports | Nongshim Esports AcademyResolved | $16 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
United States vs. Australia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersWorld Cup | OverResolved | $8 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?Bundesliga | YesResolved | $32 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $46 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?World Cup | NoResolved | $20 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $46 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnereSports | Shopify RebellionResolved | $23 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $17 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersWorld Cup | OverResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnereSports | Karmine CorpResolved | $8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)Champions League | Feyenoord RotterdamResolved | $15 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 WinnereSports | LGD GamingResolved | $7 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnereSports | MVK EsportsResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnereSports | Dplus KIAResolved | $19 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasoneSports | FnaticResolved | $8 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSports | JD GamingResolved | $8 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5La Liga | OverResolved | $5 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano DarderiTennis | Luciano DarderiResolved | $29 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)eSports | Karmine CorpResolved | $26 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BeSports | Team Secret Resolved | $7 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla RakhimovaTennis | Kamilla RakhimovaResolved | $6 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $67 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)World Cup | CuraçaoResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports | LGD GamingResolved | $11 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaTennis | Ekaterina AlexandrovaResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Champions League | Feyenoord RotterdamResolved | $7 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner TienTennis | Jakub MensikResolved | $39 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffseSports | LYONResolved | $3 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $18 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnereSports | FnaticResolved | $11 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnereSports | SK GamingResolved | $11 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis ShapovalovTennis | Denis ShapovalovResolved | $17 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5World Cup | OverResolved | $18 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)World Cup | UruguayResolved | $17 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $7 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC PlayoffseSports | Karmine CorpResolved | $71 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |