← Whale Watch

ragutwo

Predicting since Feb 2025623 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.1K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $627 across 4 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$47748¢59¢+$107
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$11652¢76¢+$52
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$14031¢36¢+$21
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$15084¢88¢+$7
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$505.1¢8.6¢+$34
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$4181¢94¢+$6
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$4260¢47¢-$9
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2778¢91¢+$4
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$919¢51¢+$16
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$2335¢31¢-$3
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$1114¢24¢+$8
Theo James announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$12.0¢30¢+$17
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?PoliticsYes$3133¢19¢-$14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$1733¢23¢-$5
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsYes$1425¢18¢-$4
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?PoliticsYes$1232¢25¢-$3
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$64.0¢4.5¢+$1
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$14.0¢30¢+$5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$726¢21¢-$1
James Norton announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$01.0¢22¢+$4
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$821¢11¢-$4
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$12.0¢11¢+$3
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$512¢8.5¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsNo$250¢64¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12.0¢3.1¢+$1
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?PoliticsYes$714¢3.9¢-$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$225¢17¢-$1
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$43.7¢1.6¢-$2
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?PoliticsYes$357¢24¢-$2
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$38.8¢4.0¢-$1
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$00.5¢22¢+$1
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$715¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?PoliticsNoResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$1947¢0.0¢-$19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?PoliticsNoResolved$16.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?PoliticsYesResolved$22.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$158¢0.0¢-$1
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?EconomyYesResolved$444¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$614¢0.0¢-$6
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)UFC / MMADeiveson FigueiredoResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?CryptoNoResolved$174.3¢0.0¢-$17
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?World CupNoResolved$17.4¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2350¢0.0¢-$23
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$53.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?PoliticsNoResolved$3131¢0.0¢-$31
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?MentionsNoResolved$210¢0.0¢-$2
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$17.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?CryptoNoResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?PoliticsYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World CupYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?PoliticsYesResolved$020¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$632¢0.0¢-$6
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyNoResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$557¢0.0¢-$5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2629¢0.0¢-$26
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?PoliticsYesResolved$419¢0.0¢-$4
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1817¢0.0¢-$18
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?EconomyNoResolved$3254¢0.0¢-$32
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$38.0¢0.0¢-$3
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsNoResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?CryptoNoResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupYesResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?TechYesResolved$327¢0.0¢-$3
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6770¢0.0¢-$67
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?PoliticsYesResolved$2010¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$74.9¢0.0¢-$7
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$47.4¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$541¢0.0¢-$5
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$266.0¢0.0¢-$26
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?PoliticsYesResolved$62.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?EconomyYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?PoliticsYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$5569¢0.0¢-$55
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?UFC / MMANoResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMATallison TeixeiraResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsNoResolved$1039¢0.0¢-$10
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$03.5¢0.0¢-$0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?PoliticsYesResolved$95.5¢0.0¢-$9
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?EconomyYesResolved$614¢0.0¢-$6
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?PoliticsYesResolved$343.5¢0.0¢-$34
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWorld CupColombiaResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$3154¢0.0¢-$31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$413¢0.0¢-$4
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?TechYesResolved$412¢0.0¢-$4
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?PoliticsYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$14.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$66.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?PoliticsNoResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?PoliticsNoResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?TechNoResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.1K
Economy-$283
NBA-$60
World Cup+$57
Tech+$48
Culture+$30
Crypto-$23
NFL+$19
Mentions-$17
Finance-$16
NHL+$6
UFC / MMA-$3
Biggest hit
+$609
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Toughest beat
-$239
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?$545m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?$546m ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1746m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$01h ago
  • Bought Movistar KOI · LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$182h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$522h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$862h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$513h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$14h ago