| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $477 | 48¢ | 59¢ | +$107 |
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $116 | 52¢ | 76¢ | +$52 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $140 | 31¢ | 36¢ | +$21 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $150 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$7 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | Yes | $50 | 5.1¢ | 8.6¢ | +$34 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $41 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $42 | 60¢ | 47¢ | -$9 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $9 | 19¢ | 51¢ | +$16 |
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $23 | 35¢ | 31¢ | -$3 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $11 | 14¢ | 24¢ | +$8 |
Theo James announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $1 | 2.0¢ | 30¢ | +$17 |
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 33¢ | 19¢ | -$14 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | No | $17 | 33¢ | 23¢ | -$5 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | Yes | $14 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$4 |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?Politics | Yes | $12 | 32¢ | 25¢ | -$3 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $6 | 4.0¢ | 4.5¢ | +$1 |
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $1 | 4.0¢ | 30¢ | +$5 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
James Norton announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $0 | 1.0¢ | 22¢ | +$4 |
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $8 | 21¢ | 11¢ | -$4 |
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $1 | 2.0¢ | 11¢ | +$3 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 50¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 2.0¢ | 3.1¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 14¢ | 3.9¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 25¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.7¢ | 1.6¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 57¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 8.8¢ | 4.0¢ | -$1 |
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $0 | 0.5¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $19 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 1, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Deiveson FigueiredoResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Crypto | NoResolved | $17 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?World Cup | NoResolved | $1 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?Politics | NoResolved | $31 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?Crypto | NoResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $26 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?Economy | NoResolved | $32 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?Crypto | NoResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $67 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $26 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup | NoResolved | $55 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?UFC / MMA | NoResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Tallison TeixeiraResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ColombiaResolved | $5 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $31 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |