Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2.2K | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$320 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$78 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $1.2K | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$49 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $962 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$20 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 65¢ | 45¢ | -$451 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $910 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$25 |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $770 | 73¢ | 87¢ | +$142 |
Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?NBA | Yes | $604 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$91 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $417 | 70¢ | 95¢ | +$150 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $522 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$26 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $445 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$23 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $391 | 65¢ | 75¢ | +$56 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $412 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$21 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $319 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$20 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $301 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$23 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Tech | No | $285 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$22 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $297 | 59¢ | 53¢ | -$34 |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Finance | Yes | $233 | 73¢ | 78¢ | +$16 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $249 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$8 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $241 | 60¢ | 55¢ | -$22 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $251 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$33 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | Yes | $251 | 46¢ | 40¢ | -$34 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $189 | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$8 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Finance | Yes | $180 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $291 | 49¢ | 30¢ | -$114 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $160 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$13 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $201 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$53 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $89 | 30¢ | 49¢ | +$56 |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $141 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | No | $170 | 48¢ | 38¢ | -$36 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $124 | 62¢ | 59¢ | -$7 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $93 | 47¢ | 55¢ | +$16 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $98 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $86 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $64 | 32¢ | 45¢ | +$26 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $40 | 35¢ | 73¢ | +$43 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $171 | 43¢ | 20¢ | -$93 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $74 | 37¢ | 35¢ | -$3 |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $63 | 63¢ | 70¢ | +$7 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $67 | 22¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $46 | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$5 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $23 | 11¢ | 23¢ | +$26 |
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $38 | 46¢ | 57¢ | +$10 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $121 | 24¢ | 9.5¢ | -$74 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $59 | 44¢ | 35¢ | -$12 |
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Tech | No | $41 | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $29 | 29¢ | 40¢ | +$11 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $138 | 37¢ | 11¢ | -$99 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | No | $27 | 27¢ | 36¢ | +$8 |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $35 | 35¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 31¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 7.2¢ | 13¢ | +$12 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 26¢ | +$2 |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 3.7¢ | 7.4¢ | +$12 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 76¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 50¢ | 65¢ | +$5 |
Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics | No | $19 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Tech | No | $13 | 5.0¢ | 7.4¢ | +$6 |
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | Yes | $16 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 33¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 14¢ | +$10 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $9 | 78¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | No | $3 | 3.0¢ | 4.8¢ | +$2 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $31 | 15¢ | 1.8¢ | -$27 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.9¢ | 4.9¢ | +$2 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 4.6¢ | 3.1¢ | -$1 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $6 | 1.3¢ | 0.7¢ | -$3 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$9 |
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Champions League | YesResolved | $23 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |