Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $411 | 22¢ | 13¢ | -$176 |
Will Nous Research launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | No | $99 | 42¢ | 85¢ | +$102 |
Will Twice release a song in 2026?Culture | Yes | $102 | 34¢ | 46¢ | +$38 |
Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto | No | $34 | 31¢ | 81¢ | +$55 |
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 31¢ | 82¢ | +$42 |
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?Crypto | No | $31 | 40¢ | 82¢ | +$34 |
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Tech | Yes | $47 | 40¢ | 51¢ | +$13 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 14¢ | 79¢ | +$43 |
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 39¢ | 58¢ | +$11 |
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $31 | 36¢ | 40¢ | +$3 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 29¢ | 85¢ | +$21 |
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 39¢ | 66¢ | +$11 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 52¢ | +$11 |
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31?Tech | No | $13 | 34¢ | 50¢ | +$6 |
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | Yes | $10 | 42¢ | 81¢ | +$9 |
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $18 | 49¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $10 | 38¢ | 56¢ | +$5 |
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?Politics | No | $61 | 24¢ | 5.0¢ | -$49 |
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 72¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 74¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 21¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 45¢ | 50¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $10 | 66¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 57¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 67¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $10 | 62¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $23 | 32¢ | 14¢ | -$12 |
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $17 | 27¢ | 15¢ | -$8 |
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | No | $10 | 32¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 11¢ | 9.4¢ | -$2 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $10 | 36¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 67¢ | 44¢ | -$3 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 12¢ | 7.2¢ | -$4 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 30¢ | 19¢ | -$4 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $10 | 34¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $10 | 40¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?Politics | No | $54 | 30¢ | 2.4¢ | -$50 |
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 30¢ | 8.5¢ | -$9 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 66¢ | 22¢ | -$7 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 37¢ | 9.5¢ | -$7 |
Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto | No | $1 | 25¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?Finance | Yes | $1 | 26¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 63¢ | 6.9¢ | -$9 |
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $200 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Culture | NoResolved | $10 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $154 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$154 |
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?NBA | YesResolved | $1.3K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $120 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?Politics | YesResolved | $72 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $115 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $115 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $21 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?Politics | NoResolved | $157 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$157 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $87 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |