← Whale Watch

axiol

Predicting since Oct 20256,385 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.8K on Soccer (other) markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $575 across 4 Culture markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.8K on Will the government shutdown end November 12?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$19364¢92¢+$82
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$155.2¢82¢+$222
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$21178¢86¢+$19
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$9435¢85¢+$136
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$695.3¢16¢+$136
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$3517¢97¢+$164
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$17685¢94¢+$17
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$8463¢92¢+$38
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$755.1¢8.3¢+$47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$8055¢80¢+$36
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$13825¢20¢-$28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$14918¢13¢-$45
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$7692¢100¢+$6
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7887¢92¢+$4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$7589¢96¢+$6
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsNo$6673¢89¢+$14
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$11182¢56¢-$34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$7089¢96¢+$5
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$5943¢55¢+$16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$5981¢95¢+$9
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$7486¢73¢-$11
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$5082¢100¢+$11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$4162¢88¢+$17
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$643.2¢2.9¢-$6
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?EconomyNo$6092¢88¢-$3
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$6929¢24¢-$13
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$5095¢97¢+$1
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$4078¢97¢+$10
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$5096¢95¢-$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureNo$4690¢95¢+$3
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$4386¢97¢+$6
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$4353¢60¢+$5
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3057¢90¢+$18
SBF released from custody in 2026?PoliticsNo$4394¢95¢+$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$3161¢81¢+$10
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$4094¢90¢-$2
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$3383¢95¢+$5
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$1541¢98¢+$21
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$3645¢44¢-$1
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?PoliticsNo$2977¢90¢+$5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$3490¢86¢-$1
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$3088¢94¢+$2
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$3087¢93¢+$2
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$3482¢76¢-$3
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?PoliticsNo$3095¢97¢+$1
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$2063¢96¢+$11
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?CryptoNo$2063¢96¢+$10
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureYes$644.1¢1.9¢-$34
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$2963¢66¢+$1
Natural Disaster in 2026?WeatherNo$2155¢78¢+$9
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechNo$5358¢32¢-$24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$4743¢27¢-$18
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$3095¢89¢-$2
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$2794¢97¢+$1
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?PoliticsNo$2168¢93¢+$7
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2476¢86¢+$3
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2695¢100¢+$1
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$2580¢88¢+$2
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$2689¢90¢+$0
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?TechNo$2488¢98¢+$3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2694¢95¢+$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$2483¢91¢+$2
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$2780¢74¢-$2
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$2552¢51¢-$1
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$2083¢98¢+$4
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$2176¢85¢+$2
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?CryptoNo$2280¢86¢+$1
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$2083¢94¢+$3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2291¢93¢+$0
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?CryptoNo$2084¢95¢+$3
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$1656¢80¢+$7
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$6188¢33¢-$39
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsYes$3824¢14¢-$15
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$2073¢81¢+$2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2119¢20¢+$2
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$2090¢100¢+$2
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?PoliticsNo$2192¢99¢+$2
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2091¢96¢+$1
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?PoliticsYes$2094¢99¢+$1
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?WeatherNo$2095¢100¢+$1
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$2095¢100¢+$1
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$2084¢88¢+$1
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2092¢96¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1939¢44¢+$2
Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2096¢100¢+$1
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$2093¢96¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2096¢100¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$2096¢98¢+$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$311.5¢0.9¢-$11
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$1021¢42¢+$10
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1891¢100¢+$2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?PoliticsNo$1470¢99¢+$6
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2093¢92¢-$0
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2094¢90¢-$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2087¢80¢-$2
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$2046¢43¢-$2
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2073¢67¢-$2
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1790¢95¢+$1
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1052¢92¢+$8
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechNo$2187¢71¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Soccer (other)-$3.8K
eSports+$920
Culture-$887
MLB-$795
La Liga-$677
Tennis-$642
Champions League-$623
Politics+$615
Other sports+$612
Crypto-$604
Boxing-$528
UFC / MMA-$432
Biggest hit
+$1.8K
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Toughest beat
-$420
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?$314d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$126d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$236d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$636d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1111d ago