baggot

Predicting since Dec 2021956 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.2K on Politics markets since Dec 2021.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?Economy	No	$5	97¢	100¢	+$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics	No	$3	86¢	95¢	+$0
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Politics	No	$3	94¢	97¢	+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics	No	$2	96¢	97¢	+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics	No	$1	79¢	96¢	+$0
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?Politics	No	$1	77¢	93¢	+$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech	Yes	$1	87¢	99¢	+$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	No	$1	88¢	97¢	+$0
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$1	86¢	94¢	+$0
Graham Platner charged by August 31?Politics	No	$1	89¢	97¢	+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics	No	$1	93¢	100¢	+$0
Trump on $250 bill this year?Politics	No	$1	92¢	97¢	+$0
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?Tech	No	$1	93¢	97¢	+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	No	$1	91¢	95¢	+$0
French election called by July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$1	97¢	100¢	+$0
Will US annex any territory in 2026?Politics	No	$1	94¢	97¢	+$0
Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech	No	$1	98¢	100¢	+$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics	No	$1	98¢	100¢	+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$1	90¢	92¢	+$0
Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?Politics	No	$1	98¢	99¢	+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics	No	$1	87¢	88¢	+$0
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Politics	No	$1	94¢	95¢	+$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	17¢	0.0¢	-$1
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?Weather	NoResolved	$1	90¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Premier League	YesResolved	$1	45¢	0.0¢	-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	58¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	68¢	0.0¢	-$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$3	98¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?Politics	NoResolved	$2	89¢	0.0¢	-$2
50% India tariff in effect by August 27?Politics	NoResolved	$1	76¢	0.0¢	-$1
Megaquake before August?Weather	NoResolved	$1	96¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$3	86¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?Culture	NoResolved	$1	97¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Tech	YesResolved	$1	71¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$1.2K

Crypto-$22

NHL+$15

Cricket-$7

Culture-$6

Tennis-$5

Mentions+$4

Weather-$3

Finance-$2

Tech+$2

UFC / MMA+$2

Economy-$2

Biggest hit

+$53

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March?

Toughest beat

-$326

Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?$14d ago
Bought No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?$17d ago
Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$17d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$17d ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?$17d ago
Cashed out No · World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?$18d ago
Cashed out No · World Cup Final: Weather Delay?$38d ago
Cashed out No · World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?$18d ago
Cashed out No · World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$268d ago
Cashed out No · World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?$18d ago
Bought No · World Cup Final: Weather Delay?$310d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$115d ago